CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x755651fca36e577a4414d5c11cc40c7473a567e835ff87ea928734afeaec32a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x372f…182abacked NIP | 0c | 12,346$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked magic | 50c | 3,960$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.81 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked NIP | 57c | 3,170$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked magic | 54c | 3,102$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.41 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed NIP | 54c | 3,001$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.54 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked NIP | 52c | 2,584$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.64 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed magic | 43c | 2,561$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.82 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed NIP | 51c | 2,189$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.74 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NIP | 54c | 1,751$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.54 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed NIP | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked NIP | 48c | 1,678$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.86 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed magic | 63c | 1,573$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.3 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NIP | 40c | 1,506$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.71 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked magic | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked NIP | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked NIP | 54c | 1,480$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.19 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed magic | 50c | 1,475$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.29 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked magic | 47c | 1,284$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.32 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed magic | 46c | 1,153$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.34 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed magic | 46c | 1,065$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.22 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed magic | 50c | 999.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.61 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed NIP | 16c | 999.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked NIP | 54c | 868.87$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.09 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked magic | 48c | 820.48$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.72 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked magic | 46c | 812.85$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.94 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed NIP | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 60c | 753.49$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed NIP | 42c | 710.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked magic | 59c | 651.49$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.26 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed magic | 67c | 645.71$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.66 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked magic | 46c | 643.48$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.48 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed NIP | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed NIP | 53c | 547$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.45 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked magic | 48c | 530$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.8 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed magic | 49c | 528.74$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.37 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked magic | 46c | 508.7$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.7 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed magic | 47c | 492$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.24 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed magic | 58c | 483.77$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.94 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed magic | 46c | 477.94$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.94 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked magic | 48c | 459.48$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.23 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed magic | 48c | 456.46$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.5 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked NIP | 54c | 373.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…38bcbacked magic | 56c | 357.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed NIP | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked NIP | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed magic | 50c | 286.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked magic | 55c | 278.91$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed NIP | 55c | 270.69$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.81 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed NIP | 53c | 267.93$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked NIP | 49c | 255.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed NIP | 52c | 253.6$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NIP | 44c | 253$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed magic | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 172 | 54.1%93 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked NIP | 36c | 236.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked NIP | 47c | 230.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked magic | 57c | 224.24$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.87 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…57eebacked magic | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked NIP | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed magic | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked magic | 71c | 175$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked NIP | 36c | 173.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed magic | 65c | 167.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NIP | 15c | 146.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed magic | 47c | 136.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed NIP | 52c | 130.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…804dbacked magic | 53c | 127.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NIP | 53c | 117.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed NIP | 61c | 109.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…ed75backed magic | 48c | 100.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked NIP | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NIP | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked magic | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed NIP | 47c | 96.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed magic | 47c | 84.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed magic | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NIP | 50c | 78.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP | 47c | 77.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked magic | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked NIP | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d87…d456backed NIP | 30c | 67.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked magic | 46c | 64.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed magic | 48c | 62.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NIP | 36c | 57.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked magic | 55c | 57.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NIP | 50c | 57.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked NIP | 54c | 55.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed magic | 63c | 53.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked NIP | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed NIP | 53c | 45.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed magic | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed magic | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked magic | 44c | 41.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…6ca8backed NIP | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed magic | 71c | 38.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed magic | 74c | 36.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 247 | 56.7%140 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked NIP | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.4wins | -0.34per pick | 57cpaid | -66%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…bce6backed magic | 47c | 35.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 82 | 22%18 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…2489backed magic | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 212 | 52.8%112 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsmagic won
- Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.