Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a9a4add88c74ad38672d0e6e2aa27c84f6929063db98e4e856f226959c0e243
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brentford FCof Manchester United FC, Brentford FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Manchester United FC | 65c | 5,583$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.55 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brentford FC | 71c | 4,625$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.12 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brentford FC | 63c | 4,231$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.69 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…9b0bbacked Brentford FC | 74c | 3,713$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.95 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Manchester United FC | 29c | 3,402$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.55 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Manchester United FC | 46c | 3,401$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.68 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Brentford FC | 72c | 3,372$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.14 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Manchester United FC | 28c | 3,072$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.16 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Brentford FC | 73c | 2,492$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.83 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Manchester United FC | 28c | 2,113$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.7 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…225bbacked Manchester United FC | 28c | 1,709$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Manchester United FC | 26c | 1,700$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Manchester United FC | 28c | 1,435$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.86 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…f53cbacked Manchester United FC | 27c | 1,264$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Brentford FC | 32c | 1,182$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.78 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Brentford FC | 41c | 996.79$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.02 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Manchester United FC | 31c | 980.26$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.88 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Brentford FC | 73c | 802.4$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.65 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Brentford FC | 72c | 792.43$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.39 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Manchester United FC | 32c | 789.45$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.64 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Brentford FC | 61c | 627.6$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Manchester United FC | 28c | 591.17$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.53 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Brentford FC | 34c | 561.75$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.76 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Brentford FC | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Manchester United FC | 45c | 483.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester United FC | 32c | 480.85$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.64 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Brentford FC | 72c | 432.55$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.23 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Brentford FC | 73c | 420.14$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Manchester United FC | 32c | 415.08$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Manchester United FC | 67c | 392.13$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Brentford FC | 69c | 343.58$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Manchester United FC | 27c | 343.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Brentford FC | 28c | 334.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.11 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Brentford FC | 61c | 320.28$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.96 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Brentford FC | 72c | 319.39$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.23 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Manchester United FC | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Manchester United FC | 28c | 297.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brentford FC | 21c | 269.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Manchester United FC | 28c | 263.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…3b90backed Brentford FC | 54c | 247.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Manchester United FC | 27c | 247.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 242.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.03 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…adbebacked Manchester United FC | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Manchester United FC | 39c | 216.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Brentford FC | 61c | 216.74$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.58 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Manchester United FC | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Manchester United FC | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Brentford FC | 48c | 169.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Brentford FC | 73c | 167.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Brentford FC | 44c | 166.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Brentford FC | 61c | 156.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Manchester United FC | 27c | 147.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Brentford FC | 74c | 147.66$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…5a5cbacked Brentford FC | 27c | 134.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Brentford FC | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Brentford FC | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Manchester United FC | 28c | 119.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked Manchester United FC | 27c | 116.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…e682backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Manchester United FC | 46c | 105.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Manchester United FC | 28c | 102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…b879backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 99.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…84ebbacked Manchester United FC | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 97.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Manchester United FC | 79c | 93.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 88.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Brentford FC | 73c | 87.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5534…1036backed Manchester United FC | 48c | 84.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Manchester United FC | 50c | 81.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Brentford FC | 40c | 80.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Brentford FC | 73c | 77.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…0242backed Manchester United FC | 78c | 75.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…d7ecbacked Manchester United FC | 30c | 75.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…936dbacked Brentford FC | 75c | 74.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Brentford FC | 74c | 73.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Manchester United FC | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…a15abacked Manchester United FC | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…25e3backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Manchester United FC | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…f1aabacked Brentford FC | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Brentford FC | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Manchester United FC | 28c | 64.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Manchester United FC | 52c | 59.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…2e2bbacked Manchester United FC | 28c | 59.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Brentford FC | 39c | 56.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…32f8backed Manchester United FC | 39c | 54.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Brentford FC | 74c | 53.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Brentford FC | 72c | 52.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47a…e2b6backed Manchester United FC | 28c | 51.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Manchester United FC | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Brentford FC | 74c | 49.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Manchester United FC | 41c | 47.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 46.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…e7f0backed Manchester United FC | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Brentford FC | 57c | 44.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d57…8de8backed Manchester United FC | 28c | 42.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.