TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,362 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Over40c4,719$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.1122745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under60c2,652$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.724349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under66c2,302$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.965763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c2,200$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.8487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under31c1,687$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.144742.6%20 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under64c1,549$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.74050%20 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+110.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Over23c1,490$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over34c1,436$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over73c1,203$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.3252550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Under54c1,197$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.98580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under42c1,148$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.4112963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over56c1,032$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over68c1,029$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over46c946.99$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over49c762.24$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over69c724.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under46c606.3$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over36c561.85$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under59c426.62$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1133145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Under50c408.28$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over66c406.1$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2708654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over75c352.16$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.451346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over36c349.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under30c331.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3920150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over71c309.86$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Under64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1db…1619backed Under29c299.98$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over34c294.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbca3…f975backed Under50c270.44$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under51c257.77$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+138.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over71c247.89$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1764151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under30c244.17$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5518351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Under48c240.01$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over6c240$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under67c230.69$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.089558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over26c224.6$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5850%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd11…ecd5backed Over68c218.97$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over76c212.82$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1510640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over49c205$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8266…e882backed Over33c188.18$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over24c186.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.677343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaf8…708cbacked Over66c151.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53716.2%6 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-69.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4412…a488backed Under25c147.74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe32e…a3eebacked Over72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under34c136.03$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over31c127.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.52540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under54c115.35$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.53862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under44c111.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.811735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Over72c111.11$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over73c103.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.641258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f37…4d4bbacked Over75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over39c90.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.112356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2626346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over71c90$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.97755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under48c87.08$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.966642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over69c86.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over25c84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under26c75.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.668056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Under40c73.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f4a…dd45backed Over67c73.73$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over75c67.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7127748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over45c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.59050%45 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under67c61.6$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2812556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Over70c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under60c59.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.715955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over34c59.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c2…1e3abacked Over56c58.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3330%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5513…2e2bbacked Over34c56.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over71c56.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over38c55.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9850%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa8e…22ebbacked Over33c54.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+116.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc7…0451backed Under28c48.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+203.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42f7…91aabacked Over56c46.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Over55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd3…abefbacked Over35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Over53c38.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceb1…1931backed Under28c38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+261.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x018a…5e65backed Over76c32.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Over44c31.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+95%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over58c31.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over71c29.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75af…5d46backed Over75c28.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under48c27.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb752…aea9backed Over69c26.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x326d…3584backed Over61c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.431266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over73c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25100%0 W · 10 L-5.4wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x1a63…fe88backed Over53c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7b…cf84backed Under72c20.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over71c20.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41080%8 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3483…2c80backed Over75c19.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea6…dcf5backed Over71c15.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under78c14.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.