Ligue 1 · resolved market
Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca824f990c9697c44ed11a4f634230cb965a4d777fe97b126c17abb66967bea3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Under | 11c | 4,418$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +282.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 2,876$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.34 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 11c | 1,068$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.75 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 45c | 1,019$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 74c | 865.16$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 32c | 766.5$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.55 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…68e7backed Over | 68c | 740$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Over | 13c | 639.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 55c | 631.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Over | 69c | 614.36$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 32c | 585.28$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.74 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 53c | 562.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 17c | 544.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 9c | 538.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.12 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Over | 75c | 500.78$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 71c | 493.35$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.38 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 459.95$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.8 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…75f0backed Under | 36c | 435.06$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Under | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.39 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 51c | 393.3$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 36c | 371.77$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.72 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 59c | 340$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Under | 66c | 324.47$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 14c | 316.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 48c | 310.05$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 74c | 300$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…3c2dbacked Over | 32c | 264.63$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…0242backed Under | 62c | 264.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 13c | 263.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +95%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 69c | 253.58$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 8c | 249$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.08 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…efffbacked Over | 69c | 238.8$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…f41cbacked Over | 13c | 231.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…1035backed Under | 50c | 221.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…1e3abacked Over | 70c | 212.6$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 8c | 186.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 80c | 175$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e5…6f7abacked Over | 60c | 166.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 75c | 161.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Under | 73c | 139.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 72c | 138.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…fe22backed Over | 59c | 122.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 38c | 114.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 39c | 111.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…e73fbacked Over | 26c | 102.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over | 50c | 99.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 30c | 99.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked Under | 42c | 91.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 39c | 76.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 55c | 76.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…582abacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 40c | 62.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Over | 28c | 62.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 51c | 56.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 19c | 53.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 38c | 42.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…30f0backed Over | 75c | 41.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…2871backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7a…f376backed Under | 73c | 26.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 40c | 26.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 44c | 23.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed Under | 52c | 22.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Over | 75c | 20.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Over | 71c | 18.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 0.5this page
- Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 1.5Under won
- Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 2.5Under won
- Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
- Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
- Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Nice (-1.5)Saint-Etienne won
- Spread: Nice (-2.5)Saint-Etienne won
- Spread: Saint-Etienne (-1.5)Nice won
- Spread: Saint-Etienne (-2.5)Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.