Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Nice (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7b13319830d0b0a33864e696acd8b1421ad74fecff960d5f8f18b4890b8d65e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint-Etienneof Nice, Saint-Etienne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6e8…6433backed Nice | 4c | 1,614$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…b558backed Nice | 4c | 1,459$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…72afbacked Nice | 4c | 1,182$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5c53backed Nice | 4c | 1,163$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ef…5955backed Nice | 4c | 1,110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe374…3b31backed Nice | 4c | 1,107$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c825backed Nice | 4c | 1,100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…7df4backed Nice | 4c | 1,080$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…829cbacked Nice | 4c | 1,060$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…7d31backed Nice | 4c | 1,060$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…f502backed Nice | 4c | 1,060$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb362…616fbacked Nice | 4c | 1,058$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149c…ff0fbacked Nice | 4c | 1,051$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…2086backed Nice | 4c | 1,018$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…7407backed Nice | 4c | 1,004$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…0d3fbacked Nice | 4c | 1,004$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…f9e2backed Nice | 4c | 1,003$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…747dbacked Nice | 4c | 1,003$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a14…8bafbacked Nice | 4c | 1,001$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f54…3b66backed Nice | 4c | 1,001$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…fff9backed Nice | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84e…7179backed Nice | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…94bbbacked Nice | 4c | 990$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf648…b95dbacked Nice | 4c | 989.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…56d6backed Nice | 4c | 989.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4e…559bbacked Nice | 4c | 989.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…7656backed Nice | 4c | 989.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b8…6303backed Nice | 4c | 989.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…9b0dbacked Nice | 4c | 985$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…2cf8backed Nice | 4c | 985$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e79…ec72backed Nice | 4c | 980$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7b…4c4abacked Nice | 4c | 980$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…1415backed Nice | 4c | 980$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…c643backed Nice | 4c | 980$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc62…ce8cbacked Nice | 4c | 980$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…dfb0backed Nice | 4c | 977.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b0…48fabacked Nice | 4c | 975$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4553…1eb3backed Nice | 4c | 974.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2730…9541backed Nice | 4c | 974.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…40afbacked Nice | 4c | 970$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…27d3backed Nice | 4c | 970$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…6abfbacked Nice | 4c | 969.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454d…c0d0backed Nice | 4c | 958$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d77…ff7ebacked Nice | 4c | 935$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…1f47backed Nice | 4c | 933$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd671…c876backed Nice | 4c | 930$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4a…9893backed Nice | 4c | 920$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…e380backed Nice | 4c | 919$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…bf3ebacked Nice | 4c | 915$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x311c…eb26backed Nice | 4c | 913$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9b…96bdbacked Nice | 4c | 906$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…c8b1backed Nice | 4c | 903.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…b2babacked Nice | 4c | 901$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…550cbacked Nice | 4c | 900$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7254…60abbacked Nice | 4c | 877.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb640…abffbacked Nice | 4c | 839.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4101…74d1backed Nice | 4c | 830$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b37…eb3ebacked Nice | 4c | 819.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…1096backed Nice | 4c | 806$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…7f32backed Nice | 4c | 789.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Nice | 3c | 781.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fb…71efbacked Nice | 4c | 779$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051e…7b91backed Nice | 4c | 770$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b4…d158backed Nice | 4c | 767.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…4c39backed Nice | 4c | 722$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…417bbacked Nice | 4c | 456.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nice (-2.5)this page
- Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 0.5Under won
- Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 1.5Under won
- Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 2.5Under won
- Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
- Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
- Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Nice (-1.5)Saint-Etienne won
- Spread: Saint-Etienne (-1.5)Nice won
- Spread: Saint-Etienne (-2.5)Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.