TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,715 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes52c14,559$7,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,568.192045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No48c4,830$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,504.134742.6%20 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No54c4,519$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,064.7445233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c4,377$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.0487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed No48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.992751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Yes52c3,970$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No48c2,906$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.9218351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No47c2,768$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.9329637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2d5…d9c9backed No50c1,916$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes50c1,477$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.291758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127b…ac34backed Yes51c1,304$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No48c1,140$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.051952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes50c1,139$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.58757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes39c1,114$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes52c1,110$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.3110145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes44c1,023$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Yes46c904.37$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.01714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.45per pick59cpaid-81.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No48c851.96$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.028250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed Yes51c824.39$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0abc…5a5cbacked Yes39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes53c507.4$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No49c466.25$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.569046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No49c431$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1227049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed No74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…09f8backed Yes51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes53c386.5$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.842944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca3…f975backed No50c370$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Yes56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeff5…dd85backed Yes52c307.69$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed No46c276.03$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.263345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes40c266.14$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes50c230.03$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.025747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1106100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No50c207.2$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.69553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No48c206$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.7527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No49c200.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0510640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.73545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No49c197.73$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.591258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes50c192.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Yes52c190.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.17837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes53c190.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes52c185.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes57c178.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Yes52c167.92$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8730%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed No62c161.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.387100%7 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes50c148$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed No48c130$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.62429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed No56c125.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.36245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes52c120$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5258…534ebacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed No49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.991573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x24fd…1250backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed No46c96.09$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.891656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f5f…95f3backed No76c95.26$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86df…2cacbacked Yes53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes39c89.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed No49c86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf9…dbb9backed Yes52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes53c74.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.47755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5d…6cdcbacked Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed No50c61.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Yes52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…01fdbacked Yes52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1af…43d7backed Yes57c56.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes53c54.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick68cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed Yes53c46.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes56c44.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.25354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed No49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacd1…0689backed Yes52c40.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No48c40.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.852250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No48c39.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.315955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-53.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe150…98a5backed Yes52c34.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Yes31c34.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9906…7d46backed No48c32.31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Yes51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b06…99c9backed Yes53c28.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a2…77a9backed No53c28.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.15875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a80…a983backed Yes52c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25100%0 W · 10 L-5.4wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes57c18.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.