La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac1d9b7492ce38155e9b7ec54b7e82be4fd744500d2ff6ae24ce33ed6e10f353
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $521,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $558,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 47c | 271,310$126,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,892.17 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 53c | 119,030$62,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,430.77 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…f741backed Over | 48c | 61,722$29,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,695.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Under | 55c | 33,788$18,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,204.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 55c | 31,470$17,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,131.22 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 55c | 29,557$16,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,291.37 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 17,148$10,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,922.74 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 13,496$6,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,747.81 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 10,560$5,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.16 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Over | 50c | 8,296$4,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,148.15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 6,018$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.2 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36e…dab1backed Under | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 77c | 3,564$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.23 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Under | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Under | 51c | 3,498$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.66 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 55c | 3,200$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 3,089$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.71 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 53c | 2,544$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.68 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 55c | 2,400$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 53c | 2,035$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.45 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 47c | 1,937$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.15 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 61c | 1,857$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.67 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 1,838$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.26 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d5…8508backed Under | 56c | 1,820$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Under | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaa…1721backed Under | 50c | 1,372$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 51c | 1,108$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 51c | 1,068$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.22 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 53c | 1,058$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 55c | 1,028$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.15 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.1 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 14c | 999$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 55c | 955$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.75 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Under | 51c | 826.55$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 50c | 822.23$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.12 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 50c | 794.24$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 38c | 781.83$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.1 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 722.66$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.94 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Over | 47c | 620.4$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.46 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 49c | 618$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 50c | 588.42$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.62 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 557.83$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.74 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 48c | 547$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.56 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 55c | 531.36$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.43 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 55c | 520$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 55c | 520$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 490$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.68 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 490$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.68 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 51c | 489.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 68c | 474.66$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 47c | 473.83$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 50c | 440.02$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 48c | 419.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…d556backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 128 | 63.3%81 W · 47 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 53c | 396.46$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.05 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Over | 46c | 388.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 386.5$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 379.41$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.06 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Under | 51c | 374.82$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 361.51$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6655…fca6backed Over | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 79c | 343.13$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.45 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 50c | 331.74$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.87 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 55c | 320$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 55c | 312$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 55c | 312$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 48c | 309$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 55c | 307.51$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 53c | 304.3$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.02 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 45c | 303$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 50c | 299$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 296.53$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.4 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.