La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95414da37b751b3753199fac408674359ce4f660ba1b7a1ad3e583763c14c66b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Under | 73c | 6,882$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.45 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 25c | 2,057$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Under | 75c | 1,966$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.43 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 30c | 1,618$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 1,195$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.91 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 27c | 1,164$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.2 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 28c | 722$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.87 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 27c | 424.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.43 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 27c | 412.73$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 74c | 406.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 77c | 390$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 343.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 333$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.26 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 25c | 299.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Under | 74c | 292.26$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 27c | 248.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 128 | 63.3%81 W · 47 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 74c | 192.7$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 26c | 192.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 27c | 161.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 27c | 154.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 29c | 149.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 27c | 120.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 30c | 104.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 71c | 102.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Over | 28c | 71.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…443ebacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…9588backed Under | 75c | 60.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 72c | 58.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e4…56ecbacked Over | 28c | 51.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 73c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 25c | 49.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 71c | 35.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 72c | 34.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 75c | 30.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 73c | 30.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 71c | 27.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a7…3fb0backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 71c | 25.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…ceebbacked Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…a560backed Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.