Fifa International · resolved market
Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x657338487f7016f420725d2243e3ff4cfde85ad4919a6fab040d8d3bb6fd4772
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 56c | 1,086$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.74 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 61c | 1,024$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.49 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 67c | 803.75$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.6 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 29c | 704.23$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked No | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce8…1b1abacked Yes | 30c | 669.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 43c | 654.9$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.99 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 32c | 531.64$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.93 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c1…0e00backed Yes | 11c | 527.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.52 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 69c | 496.92$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.14 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8f…da34backed Yes | 61c | 493.07$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 27c | 419.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.64 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 39c | 403.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…2723backed Yes | 33c | 399.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.24 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…867abacked No | 74c | 354.55$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 50c | 345.16$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.82 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…10b5backed No | 59c | 339.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked No | 45c | 335.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Yes | 33c | 315.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.03 | 228 | 35.5%81 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 62c | 303.1$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.32 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 42c | 287.31$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.64 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 49c | 277.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.87 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d3…b84fbacked Yes | 12c | 269.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.59 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes | 41c | 259$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.38 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed No | 44c | 249.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 58c | 244.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.3 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 57c | 244$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 66c | 241.5$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 45c | 237.2$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 230$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 60c | 228.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…65d8backed Yes | 76c | 218.7$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 216.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 24c | 205.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 61c | 205.02$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 68c | 202.41$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.43 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…7321backed Yes | 41c | 195.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 41c | 173.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 39c | 164.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 37c | 161.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 26c | 158.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 42c | 151.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…fb9dbacked Yes | 39c | 147.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 59c | 141.65$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 61c | 140.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 73c | 132.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 121.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.63 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbf…41f8backed Yes | 59c | 114.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 70c | 110$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…bc02backed No | 76c | 105.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 57c | 103.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 13c | 97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 20c | 93.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0da2backed No | 55c | 91.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 15c | 85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 46c | 84.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…dbdabacked No | 58c | 83.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…e55abacked Yes | 44c | 82.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 63c | 79.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 61c | 77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 77c | 75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 53c | 74.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb842…330ebacked Yes | 25c | 71.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 40c | 70.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 40c | 68.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…920ebacked No | 75c | 66.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59e…16c3backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5d…4a56backed Yes | 22c | 61.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 48c | 60.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed Yes | 32c | 58.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…e345backed Yes | 43c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe58b…d323backed Yes | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 56c | 49.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 59c | 48.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…f4e9backed Yes | 27c | 47.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…db94backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 78c | 44.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…1ddabacked Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ce…c11abacked Yes | 47c | 41.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…1e17backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Yes | 26c | 39.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe506…1bccbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…8847backed Yes | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…8397backed Yes | 60c | 31.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…7e04backed Yes | 44c | 26.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…ceffbacked Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +350.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…0c17backed No | 78c | 22.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…ff96backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…64f0backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…7778backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 19.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?this page
- Will Iran be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Iran be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.