La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4490a70012673cd905f6f112bdba3727c83dc4f9aafb2b0e32f25730373a2dac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $320,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $395,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 55c | 45,639$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,639.14 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 25,139$13,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,211.45 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 47c | 14,870$6,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,954.41 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 45c | 11,114$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,112.52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 48c | 8,400$4,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 54c | 7,100$3,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -63%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 48c | 7,088$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696.11 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Over | 46c | 6,461$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 5,945$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.65 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 41c | 4,732$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.05 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,234$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 46c | 3,659$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.14 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 53c | 3,238$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.96 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…c374backed Under | 45c | 3,215$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 45c | 3,200$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked Under | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 44c | 3,129$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.73 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 28c | 2,866$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.75 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +9.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 69c | 2,826$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.09 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 2,354$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.45 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 2,346$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.71 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 48c | 2,300$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +9.8wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 52c | 2,280$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 46c | 2,278$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.87 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Over | 35c | 2,097$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Over | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 45c | 1,944$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 54c | 1,628$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 1,617$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.4 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 46c | 1,560$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.44 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 30c | 1,495$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.67 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 45c | 1,486$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.7 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 24c | 1,450$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.2 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 1,445$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.14 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 46c | 1,413$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.04 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 44c | 1,409$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.3 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 71c | 1,334$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.77 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 47c | 1,224$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.94 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 45c | 1,184$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.8 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Over | 53c | 1,055$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 58c | 1,049$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.2 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 24c | 1,032$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.48 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…6aabbacked Over | 55c | 997.65$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…0fd2backed Over | 57c | 983.25$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 57c | 860$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 48c | 835.31$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.75 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 815.96$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.91 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 57c | 753.47$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.88 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 731.03$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.03 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 69c | 723.19$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.19 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 55c | 704.11$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.85 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 43c | 674.57$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.21 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 33c | 613.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.85 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Over | 43c | 555.2$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.68 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 36c | 551.35$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 45c | 547.31$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.29 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 33c | 520.02$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.04 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 45c | 520$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 45c | 520$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 54c | 509.41$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…8255backed Under | 47c | 502.71$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 128 | 63.3%81 W · 47 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 47c | 497.06$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.62 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed Over | 56c | 474.94$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.1 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 44c | 455$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.45 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 450$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.34 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed1…1657backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 65c | 444$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.52 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 46c | 432.3$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.41 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…c1d9backed Over | 51c | 420$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 46c | 397.11$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.79 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 45c | 390$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 46c | 386.44$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…f7ddbacked Over | 49c | 372.45$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 52c | 371.44$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.