TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$277,506

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c20,329$9,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,303.6855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under47c15,565$7,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,315.541,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over54c13,820$7,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,357.158451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over40c12,437$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,436.8411034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c10,950$5,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,011.6489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over35c9,902$3,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,455.7519246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over53c7,500$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5251,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over46c7,120$3,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,831.3684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under47c6,419$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,992.5543148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Over57c6,384$3,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.94276.2%32 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+19.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over49c6,162$3,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,131.141,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c5,587$2,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590.721,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c5,336$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.392,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.9514538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c4,756$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.748,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c4,432$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under46c4,373$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01238946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under47c4,297$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003030%9 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under46c4,232$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.2465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Over55c4,071$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.325453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c3,804$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c3,493$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.5264948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c3,010$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.5984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4403345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over76c2,540$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.2334255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over54c2,407$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.4195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c2,263$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.6589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under46c2,182$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.8121943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over50c2,180$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.771,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over71c2,097$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.6242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under49c2,031$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.1414953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over54c2,008$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.7611946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.998451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under48c1,895$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.8563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under49c1,882$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.8590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over38c1,694$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.6168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over49c1,637$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.4324159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c1,522$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.122,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Over55c1,492$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.166055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa2f7…4899backed Over54c1,455$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.351471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over41c1,375$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.3693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over56c1,339$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.2921957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under45c1,276$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.1961638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2047…9240backed Over56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5502369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under46c1,239$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.016152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under46c1,144$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.0916946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Under46c1,129$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.18977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under28c1,091$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.132,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under45c1,073$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.672,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Under28c1,060$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.935829.3%17 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Under46c999.91$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.962842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Under46c948.99$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.541145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c910$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.76,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d4…fe34backed Over54c906.7$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.08862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over54c900$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41491050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over44c893.89$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.993647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over55c877.21$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.7116555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over61c743.73$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9345445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over54c742$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.51,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Under29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under46c627.68$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.7366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Over41c610.12$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.1217459.2%103 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over52c594.16$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.035,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over49c585.4$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.3527745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under29c577.61$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5130551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Over54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over41c548$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32218850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b36…56cebacked Over57c529.05$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.051442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over54c519.99$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.5562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over43c509.37$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.3725360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3ead…4cb2backed Over54c501.56$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.724146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under50c495$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.51,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over47c485.18$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.1852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under29c483.35$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6636051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over70c456.86$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5246959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Over46c451.03$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.232857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over54c441$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.8656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c434.39$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.261,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under46c401.15$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.2314148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over54c393.18$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.841,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf16…b409backed Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.373043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Over54c365.63$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.453063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df2…d472backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4589…5ea9backed Over55c345.45$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.456051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over66c342.7$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.211261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Over50c340.41$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ee…a524backed Over47c339.64$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.012070%14 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+56.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under45c339.06$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Over20c333$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.453945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over46c328.66$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6644052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over57c326.37$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6320558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under32c326$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2752053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…a330backed Under61c325.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003844.7%17 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ae4…04a7backed Over35c321.38$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.741752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under49c306.68$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.095343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Over56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1323767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.