Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe131c06875b21c3fba28bf2feb7946f8bce9f8e9ceee7c0afe6b65d4afa88c66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,273 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 60c | 24,434$14,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,653.6 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Over | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 38c | 18,251$6,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,973.01 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 45c | 6,376$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 57c | 5,275$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 55c | 4,247$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.9 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Over | 55c | 4,212$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.16 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 2,796$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.11 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 40c | 2,700$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.83 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 2,025$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.64 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.98 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 29c | 1,963$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.6 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 1,762$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.64 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 41c | 1,754$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.21 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 40c | 1,562$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.8 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 56c | 1,475$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.6 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 19c | 1,436$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.03 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Under | 79c | 1,333$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 28c | 1,323$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.49 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,240$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.88 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 10c | 1,180$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.08 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 48c | 958.47$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Under | 49c | 877.65$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.66 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 865.44$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.33 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 61c | 795.08$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.08 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 34c | 767.79$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.7 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over | 38c | 666$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.08 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 41c | 500$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.97 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Over | 29c | 499.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Under | 60c | 481.21$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 443.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…1c79backed Under | 77c | 436.23$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 71c | 422.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.01 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Under | 58c | 380$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed Over | 42c | 380$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 33c | 364$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Over | 39c | 357.44$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 35c | 282.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…2925backed Under | 60c | 271.48$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 45c | 260$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…41b4backed Under | 65c | 258.91$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 236.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 35c | 233.73$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 43c | 220.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 39c | 216.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Under | 47c | 213.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 204.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Over | 31c | 199.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 194$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 29c | 185$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd0…aebfbacked Over | 41c | 169$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 33c | 163.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…a09fbacked Over | 41c | 142$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2958…3974backed Under | 47c | 138.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Under | 77c | 127$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 40c | 125.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 32c | 121.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 39c | 120.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 42c | 115.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 22c | 110.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 39c | 101.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 49c | 101.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 15c | 100.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b3…091cbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 42c | 99.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…6639backed Under | 61c | 99.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…c7a6backed Over | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 33c | 92.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 80c | 92.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 78c | 88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 40c | 87.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 40c | 87.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Under | 60c | 84.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed Over | 40c | 82.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 82.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed Under | 62c | 80.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Over | 26c | 79.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 39c | 79.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…c062backed Under | 60c | 77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 46c | 74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Under | 59c | 71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 44c | 70.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 46c | 65.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 78c | 64.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over | 41c | 56.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 36c | 55.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a1…16f0backed Under | 59c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…4e3abacked Over | 37c | 54.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…c56dbacked Under | 60c | 51.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.