TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,273 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under60c24,434$14,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,653.616040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Over0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206847.1%32 W · 36 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over38c18,251$6,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,973.0120545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under45c6,376$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,506.92259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over57c5,275$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over55c4,247$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.96953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over55c4,212$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.165349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c2,796$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.116,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over40c2,700$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.8351750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c2,025$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.641,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.9850644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over29c1,963$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.611450.9%58 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over24c1,762$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.644,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over41c1,754$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.219550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over40c1,562$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.885048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over56c1,475$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.64755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over19c1,436$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.0311125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Under79c1,333$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.31154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over28c1,323$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.4946943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c1,240$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.882,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over10c1,180$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183010%3 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-57.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Under70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0814166.7%94 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over48c958.47$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Under49c877.65$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.663941%16 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under59c865.44$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.332,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under61c795.08$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.089053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over34c767.79$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.78236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over38c666$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0815233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over41c500$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.974129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Over29c499.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473040%12 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe46c…8526backed Under60c481.21$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.21955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over34c443.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…1c79backed Under77c436.23$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under71c422.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.013256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Under58c380$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.461369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+50.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f2e…5b64backed Over42c380$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.461030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over33c364$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.128655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Over39c357.44$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.272055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over52c326.92$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17028654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over40c325$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over35c282.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed Under60c271.48$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.481369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Over45c260$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.354440.9%18 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b6…41b4backed Under65c258.91$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.91650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over42c236.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over35c233.73$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8128633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over43c220.3$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.733240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1219645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Over39c216.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.31428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under47c213.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.427958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over44c204.05$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8935743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Over31c199.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.993716.2%6 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c194$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.721,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over29c185$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8913842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadd0…aebfbacked Over41c169$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over33c163.28$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3682763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9741…a09fbacked Over41c142$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2958…3974backed Under47c138.7$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over41c130$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.217439.2%29 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Under77c127$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.694057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over40c125.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over32c121.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9320143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over39c120.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.399749.5%48 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over42c115.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2535328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over22c110.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.322015%3 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid+19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over39c101.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over49c101.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506860.3%41 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over15c100.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Over42c99.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.491533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0cf…6639backed Under61c99.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.322045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…c7a6backed Over55c92.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over33c92.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4525550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under80c92.28$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.741343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under78c88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.244744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over40c87.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over40c87.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0629855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Under60c84.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.88862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6c…2bf7backed Over40c82.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.212536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c82.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dd8…5335backed Under62c80.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Over26c79.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.361070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+66.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over39c79.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9610750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad1…c062backed Under60c77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under46c74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.964235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed Under59c71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.112962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over44c70.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.713743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under46c65.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.452060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under78c64.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3242862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.787844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over41c56.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over36c55.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208536.5%31 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a1…16f0backed Under59c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over33c54.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa507…4e3abacked Over37c54.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ea…c56dbacked Under60c51.18$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.