Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x352c318976575c095aa2d097419bf88df063b01220188744889379fb09354d77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,397 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 46,470$19,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,097.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Under | 39c | 24,399$9,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,515.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 38c | 20,955$7,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,962.9 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 61c | 19,848$12,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,740.8 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 57c | 10,456$5,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,493.94 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 48c | 7,999$3,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,119.34 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 75c | 6,666$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 62c | 5,758$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.01 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 38c | 2,585$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 62c | 2,433$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.75 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 2,371$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.78 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 62c | 2,284$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.04 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 50c | 2,243$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.59 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5849…dcf1backed Under | 39c | 2,225$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 38c | 2,100$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.88 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Over | 64c | 2,072$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 72c | 2,021$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.76 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 53c | 1,669$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.83 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd4…5faabacked Over | 49c | 1,637$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 51c | 1,610$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.45 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 64c | 1,566$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.66 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 56c | 1,352$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.45 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 75c | 1,328$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.45 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 59c | 1,192$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.72 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Under | 36c | 1,155$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.95 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.54 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 38c | 1,146$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.53 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 71c | 1,130$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.7 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 64c | 1,102$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.75 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 77c | 1,100$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 51c | 1,038$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.08 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 48c | 999.91$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.95 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 69c | 968.34$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.15 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 15c | 943.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 74c | 941.61$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.61 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 55c | 901.58$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.71 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 54c | 828.93$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.93 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 37c | 799.96$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.98 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 55c | 747.11$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.2 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 702.52$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.34 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…d5a8backed Under | 47c | 631.53$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 21c | 614$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 61c | 599.98$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 54c | 549.24$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.24 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 62c | 525.82$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.91 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…5551backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…cc36backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…83dbbacked Under | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Over | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 444.44$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.44 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 66c | 426.18$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.16 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 411.97$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.19 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Over | 68c | 400$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Under | 41c | 384.62$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 48c | 375.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.08 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…ff44backed Over | 62c | 366$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 61c | 358$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Over | 63c | 351.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 347.66$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.76 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 55c | 329$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 34c | 300$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7537…801dbacked Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Under | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Under | 7c | 291.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 70c | 284.42$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 64c | 267.55$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.37 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…7eacbacked Over | 62c | 253.24$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Over | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed80…0022backed Under | 48c | 244.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 58c | 236.21$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 61c | 232$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Over | 63c | 230$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…073fbacked Over | 44c | 228.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…c56dbacked Under | 46c | 223.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.21 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 36c | 206.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Over | 62c | 203.57$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…016dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 60c | 196.67$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Over | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 75c | 188.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Over | 53c | 188.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…8f5dbacked Over | 43c | 179.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 43c | 179.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c37…ad47backed Over | 61c | 172.21$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.