Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9ab49bd86892e614081574cc5997cab3a6ecc83302b2ffee305f076bfc6eb02

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $59,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $57,123

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,656 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No	58c	8,444$4,886 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,557.55	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No	64c	5,733$3,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,040.26	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	21c	3,148$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.47	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	9c	3,000$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	304	31.3%95 W · 209 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	45c	2,524$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.86	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No	57c	2,500$1,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,074.98	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No	57c	2,015$1,145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$870.05	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Yes	43c	1,995$858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$858	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes	43c	1,860$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Yes	44c	1,818$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.18per pick	54cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	6c	1,524$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,432.18	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243b…0625backed Yes	12c	1,500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	17cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes	44c	1,207$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.91	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Yes	47c	1,179$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.18	224	50.4%113 W · 111 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Yes	45c	1,111$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	11c	1,082$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.27	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed No	19c	761$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$616.41	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	+18.5wins	+0.20per pick	28cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	8c	735.11$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.05	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	45c	656.32$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.35	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	69c	596.86$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.81	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dab…55dabacked Yes	42c	594$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.48	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Yes	45c	520$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	161	52.2%84 W · 77 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	49c	509.9$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.85	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	49c	508.88$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.52	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked No	51c	499.97$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.99	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes	16c	493.75$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.54	444	35.4%157 W · 287 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	50c	448.69$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.9	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No	17c	412$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.36	151	58.3%88 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No	52c	401.67$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.66	355	49.9%177 W · 178 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Yes	49c	400$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.5	138	50.7%70 W · 68 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes	46c	356.35$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.74	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes	52c	349.1$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.95	143	42.7%61 W · 82 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	49c	340.41$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.08	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91f4…7a5bbacked Yes	57c	324.36$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.72	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes	34c	321.57$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No	54c	318$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.76	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No	55c	298.99$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.37	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes	43c	276.72$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.99	250	31.6%79 W · 171 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Yes	49c	263.27$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No	39c	247.63$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.26	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No	45c	247.41$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.91	261	55.2%144 W · 117 L	+13.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	51c	247$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.03	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed No	56c	241.07$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.07	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked No	64c	228.81$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.28	365	43.3%158 W · 207 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…4834backed Yes	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	43c	221.55$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.27	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked No	44c	219.99$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.2	115	49.6%57 W · 58 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes	46c	194.75$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.63	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Yes	45c	180$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	169	37.3%63 W · 106 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88d0…42a8backed Yes	45c	177.78$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes	45c	166.67$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…3c86backed Yes	48c	165$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.17	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+4.8wins	+0.21per pick	36cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Yes	49c	158.27$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.55	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No	42c	153.27$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.27	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes	8c	149.41$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	740	34.1%252 W · 488 L	-36.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	56c	147$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.48	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes	11c	146.25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	189	43.4%82 W · 107 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes	43c	146$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.78	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Yes	45c	133.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	208	41.3%86 W · 122 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f79…d807backed Yes	43c	131.88$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.71	129	52.7%68 W · 61 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked No	63c	126.07$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.08	332	45.5%151 W · 181 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes	19c	118.18$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcc0…ca25backed Yes	42c	117.36$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.29	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	524	41.4%217 W · 307 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Yes	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	101	38.6%39 W · 62 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…d038backed Yes	42c	115$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.3	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+4.7wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Yes	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	105	40%42 W · 63 L	-10.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-27%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No	53c	103.8$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.79	344	55.5%191 W · 153 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd659…989abacked No	54c	103.48$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.95	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1529…ba87backed Yes	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed No	54c	101.85$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.85	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac3…1347backed No	56c	100$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	142	23.9%34 W · 108 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb18…6f32backed Yes	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes	44c	99.81$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.21	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Yes	43c	98.58$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.39	153	35.3%54 W · 99 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes	42c	96.36$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	164	42.7%70 W · 94 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No	56c	95.21$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.21	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed Yes	43c	92.61$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.7	73	37%27 W · 46 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No	54c	91.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.89	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes	45c	88.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	257	27.2%70 W · 187 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a60…2889backed Yes	45c	88.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.12	96	25%24 W · 72 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes	41c	83.15$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.09	384	39.8%153 W · 231 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96b…9c4cbacked No	14c	74.11$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.11	205	53.7%110 W · 95 L	+21.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+25%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x154d…6bf9backed Yes	26c	73.23$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f0…9384backed Yes	49c	71.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No	73c	70.21$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.25	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes	44c	68.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	401	45.4%182 W · 219 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes	43c	67.44$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	823	40.9%337 W · 486 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Yes	45c	66.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed No	24c	65.75$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	356	19.4%69 W · 287 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No	55c	63.33$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.34	815	54.8%447 W · 368 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No	74c	62.14$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.01	389	60.7%236 W · 153 L	+24.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No	55c	59.99$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed Yes	60c	59$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	340	35%119 W · 221 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91c8…a101backed Yes	25c	58.92$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes	43c	58.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6759…a913backed No	50c	56.97$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.3	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked No	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	204	47.5%97 W · 107 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Yes	45c	51.88$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.12	230	62.6%144 W · 86 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09?this page
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw?No won
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event