Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c1dcc7e9a3ce9ad50a7988288b24c0df94177cb45ca93d699080dfb5d296fd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 19,352$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.56 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 7,185$5,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.75 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 69c | 4,999$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.55 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 42c | 4,890$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.85 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 29c | 3,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 1,706$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.98 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 73c | 1,673$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.86 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 72c | 1,000$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.36 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 31c | 942.84$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.39 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Yes | 24c | 862$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 62c | 818.64$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.17 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 27c | 748.4$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.91 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…3fbcbacked Yes | 28c | 692.48$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 611.9$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.12 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 27c | 529.94$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 24c | 511.66$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 31c | 419.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 32c | 380$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 28c | 350.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 28c | 344$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 13c | 299.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 259.62$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 71c | 243.45$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 72c | 230.2$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 18c | 206$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 29c | 200.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…a8b1backed Yes | 28c | 174.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 168.01$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Yes | 31c | 160.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…b57abacked Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 144$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 128$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 98.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 26c | 91.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Yes | 31c | 91.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…c609backed Yes | 28c | 82.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 38c | 81.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 21c | 74.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 27c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 69c | 54.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 73c | 51.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 77c | 44.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 72c | 35.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc48f…be1cbacked Yes | 31c | 32.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 31c | 32.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 32c | 31.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed No | 68c | 26.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 70c | 24.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked No | 73c | 18.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw?this page
- Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09?Yes won
- Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.