Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b7a205feb245f6cbfa485ddce537d7a7c50d3bac425d6f0064e6f95b2306720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 35c | 13,925$4,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.51 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 4,404$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.66 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Yes | 37c | 1,936$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…ab1fbacked Yes | 38c | 1,267$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 47c | 651.43$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 635.09$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.49 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 458.38$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.33 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 426.84$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 397.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.09 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 36c | 392.79$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…6510backed Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed No | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 26c | 328.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…d028backed No | 59c | 269.66$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked No | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…4d80backed No | 64c | 152.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…1a11backed No | 65c | 150.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 47c | 145.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 27c | 139.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 68c | 110.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked No | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 27c | 105.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 35c | 81.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 80.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 36c | 62.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Yes | 28c | 54.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 38c | 50.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Yes | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 46c | 42.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed No | 54c | 42.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 78c | 42.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 36c | 38.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…7c65backed No | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 69c | 33.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 46c | 29.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 47c | 28.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 47c | 28.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 70c | 23.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 53c | 19.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.