TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc0ff…9953backed Under76c2,416$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.351172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+50.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c1,805$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.8732650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over38c1,434$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.9396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over48c1,415$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.2318923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over39c1,235$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.818033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under52c1,118$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.572552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under52c1,081$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.8924953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over9c1,038$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.373847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over26c813.76$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over39c499.98$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9911127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under53c495.97$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.14748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over49c494.59$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.3511429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Over47c484.16$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under52c442.72$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over16c436.82$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.895219.2%10 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over48c428.91$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.884736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under57c341.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+73.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c323.48$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.536456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under53c317$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9911349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14449137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under64c288.69$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8213445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c249.53$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.392,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under53c223.51$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.052055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under54c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9313146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9413636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over49c195.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9717058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over40c192.8$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.125721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+64.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over27c191.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6310233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over27c173.53$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.158232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over47c166.86$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.427248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c152.05$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.161,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Under52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7211666.4%77 W · 39 L+14.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under55c132.33$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.55988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+67.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.235038%19 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over29c111.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1321748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under51c106.07$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.977045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Under57c102.55$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.12250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Under55c97.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.79850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under53c97.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.672466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.526747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over40c96.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5614231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over41c93.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.594231%13 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under68c82.94$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.724852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under61c73.45$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over42c69.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.434553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Under57c68.69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.722744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over47c64.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3751139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Under54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.852268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b2…dcc5backed Under59c53.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Over48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under51c49.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2417955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2417958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed Over40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over48c46.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.288143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Under61c39.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c38.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6768750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a8c…880abacked Under52c37.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.954052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.938858%51 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…df82backed Under66c37.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Under56c36.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2410456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over49c35.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e35…ee1abacked Under77c32.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.361687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick74cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under52c30.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5338739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.831441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Over46c29.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over49c25.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.677862.8%49 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa295…ee74backed Under57c25.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.02850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under41c25.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.069826.5%26 W · 72 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c23.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over47c23.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.135757.9%33 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over47c23.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1313653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bdf…5761backed Over47c23.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Over47c23.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.131741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over47c23.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.134746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over47c23.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1315244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over47c23.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1310358.3%60 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over47c23.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1314752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over47c23.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.137846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under61c23.58$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2314159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under53c21.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.991662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under76c14.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4420452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.