Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc37566a9fca77bee48fb36a903c047a817716549652ab308fa0e03f84844f040
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 10,785$5,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387.31 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 62c | 7,911$4,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.86 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 2,825$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.03 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 48c | 1,588$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.08 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 74c | 1,330$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 64c | 1,118$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.61 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Over | 50c | 844$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 662.22$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.23 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…233abacked Over | 50c | 512.38$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e5…6f7abacked Over | 74c | 400.31$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 40c | 361.89$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.26 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 27c | 327.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.11 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 54c | 252.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 26c | 240$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…42f1backed Under | 20c | 238.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 37c | 223.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 47c | 199.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 31c | 188.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 53c | 181.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 14c | 174$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a35…f88bbacked Over | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Under | 29c | 167.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…09aebacked Over | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 10c | 148.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +110%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 39c | 145.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 25c | 141.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa223…0894backed Under | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 34c | 134.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.52 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 51c | 114.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 53c | 107.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.55 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Over | 34c | 96.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 55c | 93.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x04d0…468abacked Over | 44c | 87.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 41c | 83.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Under | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 64.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 71c | 51.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Over | 66c | 44.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 69c | 42.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 40.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 37.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 73c | 35.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bd1fbacked Over | 73c | 35.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 65c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Over | 51c | 31.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 52c | 29.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…9b6ebacked Over | 43c | 26.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0363…1d49backed Under | 63c | 23.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 74c | 21.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 64c | 21.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Over | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 73cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 66c | 19.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 18.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 75c | 18.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)AC Milan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.