TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under45c94,264$42,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,045.217753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over56c64,523$35,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,540.8116040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over53c18,639$9,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,796.473243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over60c8,496$5,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,388.834,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under47c6,380$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.685748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over65c5,629$3,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.646,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under46c5,302$2,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,438.891136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under20c4,922$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.048116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under44c4,065$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.8135941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over59c3,286$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.7691435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Over54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3801631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5c5…5dccbacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc68b…f6eebacked Over54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c58…f3c7backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Over54c2,631$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.265642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over52c2,425$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1642334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over56c1,996$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.2222049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Over54c1,752$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,723$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.281,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over52c1,563$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.46560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Over54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under45c1,416$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.144656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.798949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over53c1,300$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6116439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under31c1,254$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.5472442.7%309 W · 415 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over51c1,242$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+118.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Over54c1,222$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.212951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under46c1,100$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over56c1,090$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.172,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over51c1,027$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.231560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Over54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4607444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Over55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4506743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f8…7333backed Over54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4602100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4704148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c609.93$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.2656051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under44c578.14$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.3813444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over53c573.75$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.5622146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23523258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over56c452.47$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over56c450$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7581053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over75c385$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.253259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x399f…e8d8backed Under16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under27c296.3$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Over53c276.25$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.847166.2%47 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Over54c265.22$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1225848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3817161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over52c225.2$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.11050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under6c212.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.741225%3 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+215.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under36c208.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Under32c203.13$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over52c191.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.859957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1922242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over54c173$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.261,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over57c166$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3827752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Over78c160.21$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.252540%10 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over67c158.01$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.141936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under44c149.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6618449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over52c145.48$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.837844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c135$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9759332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Over52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.621553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under18c131.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.686445.3%29 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a9…82b9backed Over80c117$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.41668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20b…3ae4backed Over56c116.07$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.072065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c107.46$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4756241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed Under29c105.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4615738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Over53c98.6$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.344963.3%31 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827f…8027backed Under18c96.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.342035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over54c89.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0633751.3%173 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over56c87.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.545856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2d4…3a29backed Under46c80.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.25425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over53c78.24$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.771,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed Under48c70.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…c845backed Under47c63.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over63c61.1$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5836545.2%165 W · 200 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.415444.8%69 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.65846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over54c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7611248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…76f5backed Over54c53.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under46c51.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Under28c48.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.812050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over70c48.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7474644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3708…7c65backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.085655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Over65c48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8210554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over60c47.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1210634%36 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over56c44.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.658644.2%38 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under25c44.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.311,93842.5%823 W · 1,115 L-41.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ee…31cabacked Under47c43.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.63464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over71c39.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.432560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.21844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over55c29.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2710257.8%59 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over66c29.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.772475%18 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x582a…a781backed Over55c29.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.042166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over53c28.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5516045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.164341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe953…7be7backed Under47c27.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.