Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04b8661a71bb74791b58ef1c5498714023f8046d4cc16ede10411d1b656bab4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 3,495$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 52c | 2,884$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.32 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked No | 49c | 2,733$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Yes | 53c | 1,850$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 1c | 1,488$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 921.45$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.08 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 48c | 895.2$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.69 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 860.52$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…d85abacked Yes | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 14c | 394.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 54c | 326$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 50c | 264.58$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.29 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed No | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 51c | 205.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed No | 17c | 194.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 137.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 12c | 134.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 48c | 133.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 52c | 108.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 48c | 108.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…4c2dbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c30…7320backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 53c | 97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 50c | 74.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 39.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 53c | 37.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe007…0767backed Yes | 53c | 35.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 48c | 34.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…4d2abacked Yes | 53c | 25.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 52c | 23.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.