Premier League · resolved market
Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b4bc2ff222e20b2bbfeb216c54ee5f4dacc8a2cb6aaaecb306c17f850dbcb43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 75c | 15,000$11,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 6,314$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 56c | 2,672$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.06 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 51c | 1,413$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.41 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Under | 51c | 985.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 38c | 916.45$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.21 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 53c | 900.75$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.35 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 68c | 760$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 47c | 736.26$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.47 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…5de0backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 34c | 476.76$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.66 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 51c | 443.18$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.23 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Under | 53c | 412.01$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 48c | 237.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 237.87$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Under | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 48c | 208.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 9c | 205.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 51c | 196.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 58c | 195$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 46c | 182.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Under | 61c | 163.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…c845backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Under | 71c | 141$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 128.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 50c | 120.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Over | 52c | 110.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 31c | 104.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…007abacked Under | 58c | 103.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…f273backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 94.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 53c | 88.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 69c | 78.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 78.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 50c | 77.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…e67dbacked Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…443ebacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 29c | 59.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 29c | 56.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 48c | 54.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 32c | 54.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 67c | 49.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…5430backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 68c | 38.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 34c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 73c | 33.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 33.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 57c | 29.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 41c | 27.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Under | 52c | 24.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Over | 52c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Burnley FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.