Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a49e0172ba9e8c09aac4a75054c014f53d529da75b7055c4da067f2286b7514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $226,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Over | 52c | 54,403$28,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,421.29 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 28,815$16,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,827.46 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 11,186$5,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,804.57 | 2,606 | 47.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 10,631$5,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,506.24 | 783 | 42.5%333 W · 450 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…b940backed Over | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 7,222$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.36 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 48c | 6,400$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Under | 50c | 6,280$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 6,179$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.06 | 1,012 | 36%364 W · 648 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…6aabbacked Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.97 | 185 | 61.6%114 W · 71 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 5,891$4,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.63 | 750 | 56.5%424 W · 326 L | +44.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over | 49c | 5,865$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 24c | 5,452$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.68 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 60c | 4,904$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.23 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 48c | 4,800$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked Over | 51c | 4,259$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.98 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.15 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…2edfbacked Under | 56c | 3,594$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 52c | 3,354$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Under | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 19c | 2,600$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.68 | 142 | 21.8%31 W · 111 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 50c | 2,537$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.32 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 2,531$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.11 | 112 | 67%75 W · 37 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 48c | 2,522$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 462 | 36.1%167 W · 295 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 48c | 2,400$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 49c | 2,399$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.65 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 25c | 2,100$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 1,358 | 48.3%656 W · 702 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 48c | 1,600$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 48c | 1,500$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.98 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 48c | 1,472$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.8 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 56c | 1,297$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.31 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…1128backed Over | 49c | 1,217$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 44c | 1,200$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 48c | 1,200$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 173 | 61.8%107 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 48c | 1,200$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 48c | 1,164$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…167abacked Over | 46c | 1,063$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 53c | 1,019$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.29 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 830 | 63%523 W · 307 L | +113.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…1eebbacked Over | 51c | 972.43$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 48c | 960$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 49c | 949.98$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 54c | 922.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.58 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 13c | 824.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 762 | 41.9%319 W · 443 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 48c | 800$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 48c | 800$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 757$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.64 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 66c | 739.97$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.59 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Over | 46c | 739.13$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 9c | 729$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over | 50c | 727$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.5 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 689.79$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.74 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 46c | 657.16$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.29 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Under | 50c | 656.38$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.63 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 56c | 650$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Over | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 48c | 650$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 171 | 57.9%99 W · 72 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 48c | 640$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 145 | 54.5%79 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 50c | 616$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 183 | 55.7%102 W · 81 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 51c | 594.2$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.04 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 585.28$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.77 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 51c | 582$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.82 | 356 | 28.7%102 W · 254 L | -20.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 73c | 576.5$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…42b0backed Over | 52c | 568.25$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 562.45$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.58 | 368 | 51.4%189 W · 179 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 48c | 560$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 48c | 560$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 54c | 539.87$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.53 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 52c | 536.98$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.23 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 41c | 508.85$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 494.07$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 752 | 44.8%337 W · 415 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 47c | 480$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Over | 51c | 460.57$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.89 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Over | 51c | 440$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 48c | 439.96$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.83 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 432.21$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.82 | 585 | 51.6%302 W · 283 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 425.73$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.68 | 1,943 | 42.5%826 W · 1,117 L | -41.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 52c | 411.37$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.91 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 52c | 404.71$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.45 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Over | 51c | 403.78$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.93 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 50c | 400.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.