Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1039afc26958aeb1159c879e89c09c92b48c51959822d88c11415fb347402355
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 29,322$21,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,216.83 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 30c | 16,568$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 462 | 36.1%167 W · 295 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 30c | 3,358$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.16 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 9c | 1,250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 142 | 21.8%31 W · 111 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 27c | 1,112$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 73c | 616.44$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.44 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 5c | 592.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 762 | 41.9%319 W · 443 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Over | 18c | 488$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 25c | 472$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…8d45backed Over | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 23c | 436.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 68c | 420$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 29c | 385.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 660 | 40%264 W · 396 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 21c | 377$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 585 | 51.6%302 W · 283 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 34c | 289.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 30c | 201.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 71c | 158.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 151.02$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 1,943 | 42.5%826 W · 1,117 L | -41.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 76c | 149.94$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 29c | 148.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 29c | 133.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 69c | 132.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 368 | 51.4%189 W · 179 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 72c | 123.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 74c | 109$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 33c | 104.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 1,019 | 51.6%526 W · 493 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed Under | 79c | 97.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 70c | 87.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,176 | 57.4%675 W · 501 L | +40.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 72c | 86.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c2…2effbacked Over | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 20c | 71.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Over | 35c | 70.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 410 | 42%172 W · 238 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 27 | 88.9%24 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 73c | 55.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked Over | 29c | 50.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ad…2161backed Over | 30c | 47.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 43.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 1,707 | 52.8%902 W · 805 L | +31.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf0…8d23backed Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 73c | 33.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 34c | 32.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…b1a3backed Under | 67c | 31.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…ceebbacked Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 74c | 28.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 72c | 24.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f8…8630backed Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 65c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 233 | 56.7%132 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 71c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)West Ham United FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.