TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
West Ham United FCof Arsenal FC, West Ham United FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$495,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$506,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Arsenal FC37c191,006$70,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,00011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed West Ham United FC64c100,000$64,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,0005552.7%29 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed West Ham United FC66c75,923$50,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,823.231172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed West Ham United FC65c53,318$34,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,905.6513353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Arsenal FC35c41,336$14,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,467.534841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed West Ham United FC68c38,352$26,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,083.526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Arsenal FC36c37,334$13,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,481.233234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed Arsenal FC34c30,000$10,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,2002240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked West Ham United FC63c26,955$16,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,956.72,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Arsenal FC23c20,139$4,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.720140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked West Ham United FC65c18,808$12,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,665.394,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed West Ham United FC63c12,510$7,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,628.683369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f16…5fe7backed Arsenal FC37c12,137$4,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,484.34825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Arsenal FC35c11,283$3,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949.082544%11 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Arsenal FC35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed West Ham United FC65c8,490$5,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.6611437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Arsenal FC34c8,305$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.712847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed West Ham United FC65c7,249$4,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.3210765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed West Ham United FC62c6,943$4,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.21,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC17c5,830$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.5810636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed West Ham United FC75c5,575$4,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.3988635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed West Ham United FC65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7503151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed West Ham United FC76c4,717$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.0376842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Arsenal FC34c4,324$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.047145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed West Ham United FC66c4,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3604860.4%29 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed West Ham United FC63c3,995$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.5912949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed West Ham United FC64c3,953$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.1555751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Arsenal FC36c3,919$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.721947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Arsenal FC18c3,505$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.8872142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Arsenal FC34c3,140$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed West Ham United FC63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11014553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked West Ham United FC64c3,000$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09059445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Arsenal FC34c2,874$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.3935941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Arsenal FC36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006526.2%17 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed West Ham United FC65c2,053$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.5740655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed West Ham United FC65c1,910$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.616753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked West Ham United FC62c1,796$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.34650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed West Ham United FC71c1,696$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.971,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked West Ham United FC63c1,667$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.7921056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Arsenal FC36c1,650$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5944951%25 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Arsenal FC31c1,600$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4964548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed West Ham United FC65c1,518$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.855851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Arsenal FC37c1,480$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.62445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Arsenal FC35c1,475$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.8811229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Arsenal FC35c1,441$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.344240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed West Ham United FC63c1,381$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.0322644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed West Ham United FC65c1,371$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.772751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked West Ham United FC67c1,194$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.035442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Arsenal FC34c1,138$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.989254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed West Ham United FC64c1,100$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3968756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed West Ham United FC65c1,077$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.921560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed West Ham United FC63c1,010$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3761,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed West Ham United FC64c1,010$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.2577336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed West Ham United FC66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Arsenal FC36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3606743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Arsenal FC35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked West Ham United FC60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40015038%57 W · 93 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed West Ham United FC67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Arsenal FC34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b4…d723backed Arsenal FC34c999.95$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.984425%11 W · 33 L-7.2wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xdada…4e86backed Arsenal FC37c935.28$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed West Ham United FC56c932.78$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.753842.1%16 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-23.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Arsenal FC34c899.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3064334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Arsenal FC35c840$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29412139.7%48 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed West Ham United FC63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.654845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Arsenal FC38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Arsenal FC35c749.75$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.415518.2%10 W · 45 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Arsenal FC37c732.77$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.0322049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7a6…8117backed Arsenal FC35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25070%0 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked West Ham United FC64c700$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25217959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Arsenal FC36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25210751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed West Ham United FC65c659.53$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.842528%7 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked West Ham United FC64c650$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23416858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d03…c3b6backed Arsenal FC36c641.09$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked West Ham United FC64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21623258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked West Ham United FC64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21618156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Arsenal FC36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2165922%13 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd1b…b9c4backed Arsenal FC36c591.67$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2131241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Arsenal FC37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a23…ab0bbacked Arsenal FC37c530.57$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.31520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Arsenal FC38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009131.9%29 W · 62 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed West Ham United FC65c525$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.148259.8%49 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3e3…21d5backed West Ham United FC66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1704100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed West Ham United FC65c481.41$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9216454.9%90 W · 74 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked West Ham United FC63c461.83$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.731,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…bbcdbacked West Ham United FC65c407.77$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.771650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…6a2cbacked West Ham United FC76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked West Ham United FC64c390$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.496443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed West Ham United FC64c390$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.41,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked West Ham United FC65c363.68$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7741850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Arsenal FC28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004022.5%9 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Arsenal FC14c344.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2111534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Arsenal FC29c335.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7816232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Arsenal FC15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed West Ham United FC64c329$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.071,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed West Ham United FC70c323.13$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1174644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed Arsenal FC24c306.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.681216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-71.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed West Ham United FC65c306.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.167759.7%46 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c58…f3c7backed West Ham United FC62c304.5$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa006…9c5ebacked Arsenal FC36c300.75$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.