TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$247,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$245,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c83,612$41,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,049.516,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Over47c61,269$28,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,796.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick66cpaid-73.5%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Over36c20,878$7,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,470.242544%11 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Over76c13,200$10,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0325352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under50c10,924$5,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,461.966139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under24c10,408$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,910.062,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c9,341$4,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,391.9176842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…8de8backed Over69c7,166$4,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,944.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under9c6,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,449.968116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under36c5,462$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,505.75333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Over53c5,021$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,677.892339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Over25c4,748$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over68c4,414$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.243764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over14c3,945$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5583345.5%15 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under25c3,613$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.7611437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over49c3,379$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.4613630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c3,102$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.174,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Over31c2,933$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9091050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over42c2,764$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.7122242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c2,740$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.2859247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Under64c2,350$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.481752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over38c2,060$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.3920040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4409157.1%52 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over64c1,531$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.729446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over69c1,508$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.052462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over27c1,400$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37813721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over74c1,351$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0515…64cdbacked Over78c1,282$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over16c1,236$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9672142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over22c1,200$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2648122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over26c1,138$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29623632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under59c1,122$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.4774644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over63c1,120$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e37…deb2backed Over48c1,077$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under58c1,016$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.7588635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under53c871$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.3729250%146 W · 146 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over47c711.3$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.3116437.2%61 W · 103 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over34c661.11$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.85954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over76c654.53$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.445271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x692f…6455backed Over36c625.39$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over62c585$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.74348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over48c579.17$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2781936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-41.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Over9c555.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over60c520.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.774768.1%32 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under10c498$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under24c491$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.1627752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under23c454.75$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c440.9$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.241,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over67c414.87$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2792580%20 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under14c404.59$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.95650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+63.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2323551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid+100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under24c399.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.9955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over12c393$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.684330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15565.4%3 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+150.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over52c373.29$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.114057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under20c357.04$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.0735941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over45c343$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.352532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under22c326$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.2875850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over40c324.53$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under75c324$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7211753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over46c319.57$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1471662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under38c318.75$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0616232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Over19c318.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-65.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Over75c298.95$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.211827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-61%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Under72c286.43$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.432250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1782…892fbacked Under38c286.02$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.151250%6 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+169.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over70c286$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.23259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4829…97ebbacked Over37c274.89$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.711546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017161.4%105 W · 66 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under70c251.98$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.595339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over22c250.68$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4113250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Over22c228.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Over80c222$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.65459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d6…b213backed Over48c206$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.881553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over24c204.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3541260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under56c202.31$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8922057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under40c200.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.916238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1522548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over43c199.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8514351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8a…45aabacked Over76c197.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under63c193.59$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1924557.6%141 W · 104 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under24c183.34$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3410534.3%36 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over30c180$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5413439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under23c179.72$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4733551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac7…c99abacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over47c174.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7555654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over12c169.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0321250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under56c165.66$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3518463%116 W · 68 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under57c164.34$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0939555.9%221 W · 174 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over9c158.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155018%9 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid+127.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under53c157.34$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6922645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Over32c156.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.034835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.