TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Falcons (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Tundra Esports, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,483
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,483 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3265…d5b8backed Tundra Esports22c4,629$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.555942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Tundra Esports51c3,925$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00054556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Team Falcons72c3,443$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.329145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons52c3,119$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.7888166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons49c3,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.9989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons63c2,818$1,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.521,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Tundra Esports23c2,103$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.752243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed Team Falcons49c2,054$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.8311359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons59c1,798$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.451,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Tundra Esports23c1,793$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.025747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons65c1,579$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.5566662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Tundra Esports50c1,294$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.167853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports27c1,235$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.321,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Tundra Esports50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.949557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6054…3628backed Tundra Esports2c1,074$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Tundra Esports40c1,038$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.889837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Tundra Esports29c1,027$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked Tundra Esports27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2708854.5%48 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Tundra Esports25c924$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23153844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Falcons52c872.1$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.6180742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked Tundra Esports29c776.76$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.854252.4%22 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked Tundra Esports26c748.52$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.626735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32fd…625fbacked Team Falcons74c673.47$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons47c636$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.1862650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Team Falcons54c630$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.66460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…89d0backed Tundra Esports14c590$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.14967.3%33 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba10…e85ebacked Tundra Esports26c582.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.922147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac5d…d45fbacked Tundra Esports16c575.49$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.849535.8%34 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ad…5a4ebacked Tundra Esports53c567.59$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Tundra Esports55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e8…36d7backed Team Falcons50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3360…91d1backed Tundra Esports51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Tundra Esports39c442.87$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.629245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons76c432.92$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.712,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Falcons72c430.2$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4131245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Tundra Esports23c405.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9345046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Tundra Esports53c380.44$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8935461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons53c351.84$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.141,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Tundra Esports53c322.69$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.059145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Falcons74c315.74$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9437754.9%207 W · 170 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Team Falcons71c302.19$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.215549.1%27 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked Team Falcons45c301$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.414259.9%85 W · 57 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa279…fd20backed Tundra Esports51c274.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Tundra Esports45c249.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11279343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons50c204$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0451140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Team Falcons50c200.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.15757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Tundra Esports50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009339.8%37 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7bb…0fd6backed Team Falcons61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Team Falcons38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12473743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Falcons68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6459250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed Tundra Esports9c199.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0416821.4%36 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Tundra Esports53c189.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022453.1%119 W · 105 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Tundra Esports25c180$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.748352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons47c173.6$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2160542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Team Falcons74c170$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.921350.7%108 W · 105 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed Tundra Esports39c167.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4816445.7%75 W · 89 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Team Falcons74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Falcons65c149.02$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0631251.3%160 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Tundra Esports30c145.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6755251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f03…7551backed Team Falcons77c143.78$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.072560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb759…ed73backed Team Falcons48c115.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.610049%49 W · 51 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Tundra Esports50c105.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.859244.6%41 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ece…e3c8backed Tundra Esports31c103.36$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324136.6%15 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Team Falcons48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Tundra Esports28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2866848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Team Falcons70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe64b…3499backed Team Falcons51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495052%26 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d4…b96cbacked Tundra Esports25c99.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.747048.6%34 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf94…6ee5backed Team Falcons51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tundra Esports28c96.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8834063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Tundra Esports54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4642…9458backed Tundra Esports56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ed…6dd8backed Team Falcons48c85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc689…5f35backed Tundra Esports17c82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Team Falcons46c78.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4497142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked Team Falcons52c71.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.236761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Tundra Esports51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3595841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Team Falcons45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6755457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Tundra Esports24c63.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.245318.9%10 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Team Falcons50c62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Tundra Esports30c54.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.261,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xcfb5…5e2ebacked Team Falcons49c54.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3717…b35bbacked Tundra Esports56c53.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.691127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe128…0d11backed Team Falcons73c51.49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Tundra Esports42c50.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.383871.1%27 W · 11 L+8.3wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+36.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xcf24…1208backed Team Falcons80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104540%18 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9634…bd44backed Tundra Esports27c49.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Team Falcons80c48.2$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.793158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Falcons77c48.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0545061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff77…b6b4backed Team Falcons75c42.08$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.526152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc60…fdc5backed Team Falcons74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Tundra Esports32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92025%5 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0030…04e9backed Tundra Esports51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034152.2%178 W · 163 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Team Falcons49c37.08$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9922945.9%105 W · 124 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Tundra Esports36c37.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1912720.5%26 W · 101 L-22.6wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.9%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xc4c0…23d8backed Tundra Esports60c35.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.423957.3%137 W · 102 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x796a…9659backed Team Falcons50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd56c…1cf9backed Team Falcons53c27.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.062254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x634a…07b2backed Team Falcons73c27.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6327…97b2backed Team Falcons78c25.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.694983.7%41 W · 8 L+7.9wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+28.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.