NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a37b78110d05d4db22a94364490c4011d1f80d564250cf6f1b28b8b9c3a4ae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,541 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 43c | 103,169$44,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,775.59 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 58c | 41,672$24,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,167.35 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 56c | 23,027$12,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,885.55 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 56c | 11,912$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,709.93 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 10,965$6,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,137.21 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 44c | 9,276$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,215.6 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 59c | 3,165$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.77 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 45c | 2,171$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.02 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 59c | 1,984$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.38 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.01 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 1,088$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.04 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Over | 57c | 1,050$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 58c | 907$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.06 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 786.66$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.79 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 43c | 750$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 43c | 735.76$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.39 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 57c | 726.88$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.32 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 56c | 599.98$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.99 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 56c | 550$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 55c | 548.49$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.82 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 39c | 542.83$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.13 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Under | 45c | 527.5$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Under | 44c | 483.16$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 56c | 447.87$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.48 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 33c | 394.12$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Under | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…fb01backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 306.93$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.31 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 57c | 226.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.55 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 58c | 223.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Over | 58c | 208$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 191.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 58c | 186.04$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 58c | 169$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 19c | 167.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Over | 48c | 151.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 43c | 146.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Under | 43c | 137.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…c7adbacked Over | 58c | 131.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…ad7bbacked Over | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 44c | 104.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…7042backed Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 17c | 90.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…01c7backed Over | 61c | 77.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Over | 35c | 76.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…48e8backed Over | 48c | 74.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 58c | 60.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…0436backed Under | 46c | 59.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 42c | 59.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005b…2947backed Over | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 57c | 50.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4a…4b7dbacked Under | 44c | 49.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef0…db6fbacked Under | 43c | 47.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0fc8backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 43.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 44c | 39.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…bce5backed Over | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 58c | 35.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbc…e924backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Over | 45c | 35.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Under | 55c | 30.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Under | 55c | 30.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Over | 57c | 28.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Under | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…c865backed Under | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…de4dbacked Under | 77c | 25.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…a597backed Under | 77c | 25.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…3dcebacked Under | 77c | 25.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde95…b97fbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…e188backed Under | 67c | 25.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Over | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 57c | 21.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 58c | 20.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Oilers vs. Golden KnightsOilers won
- Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Oilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.