NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3a6b333673c3abbe74d105b0f527a11d125b18b2a32f1e92f30ffe1e14b3634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,552 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 70c | 1,960$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.81 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 30c | 948.03$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.41 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 30c | 823.89$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.23 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 70c | 648$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.64 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 32c | 273.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 254.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 48c | 208.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 65c | 191.13$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.37 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 68c | 188.93$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 33c | 183.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 177.51$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Over | 74c | 135.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 31c | 120.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 69c | 116.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 35c | 109.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 15c | 106$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 42c | 104.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Under | 38c | 92.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Over | 49c | 85.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 37c | 74.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Under | 29c | 72.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Over | 68c | 61.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -13.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 69c | 60.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 31c | 59.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 19c | 57.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…dbd2backed Over | 71c | 49.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Under | 30c | 44.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 35c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 51c | 41.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 41.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2333…aacebacked Under | 30c | 36.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…bce5backed Over | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…21e7backed Over | 70c | 28.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Over | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +95%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7dffbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Over | 69c | 22.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…b1c1backed Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 69c | 18.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 65c | 16.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0d…2450backed Over | 71c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed Over | 71c | 14.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Oilers vs. Golden KnightsOilers won
- Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Oilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.