Euroleague · resolved market
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. FC Bayern Munchen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac0b44610a3df399b0dbf3227750421c796709e9fb30ce99caaca287477912b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Munchenof KK Crvena Zvezda, FC Bayern Munchen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,969 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Bayern Munchen | 34c | 2,931$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.87 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…5d9cbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 73c | 1,391$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FC Bayern Munchen | 43c | 1,323$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.83 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 1,266$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.29 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 70c | 1,250$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.41 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 71c | 1,110$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.86 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 60c | 994.02$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.65 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 58c | 877.02$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed FC Bayern Munchen | 23c | 812$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed FC Bayern Munchen | 22c | 718.76$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…bdcfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 60c | 697.02$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 60c | 489.06$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 76c | 484.52$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.23 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 77c | 386.87$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.89 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 38c | 340.4$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed FC Bayern Munchen | 40c | 271.59$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.07 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…ad3abacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 71c | 267.61$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 77c | 259.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 48c | 222$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked FC Bayern Munchen | 24c | 209.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.86 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed FC Bayern Munchen | 24c | 206.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Bayern Munchen | 37c | 185.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.68 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…0975backed FC Bayern Munchen | 23c | 177.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +341.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked FC Bayern Munchen | 54c | 165$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FC Bayern Munchen | 57c | 163.37$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 47c | 153.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed FC Bayern Munchen | 42c | 152.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 39c | 148.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 34c | 148.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 56c | 129.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 23c | 126.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8051…bed1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 122.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked FC Bayern Munchen | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed FC Bayern Munchen | 39c | 98.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FC Bayern Munchen | 47c | 96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 59c | 96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 77c | 95.2$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked FC Bayern Munchen | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 61c | 81.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 52c | 73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…0436backed FC Bayern Munchen | 22c | 71.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +348.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 76c | 64.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…7d2ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 23c | 55.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 52.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed FC Bayern Munchen | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed FC Bayern Munchen | 25c | 48.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed FC Bayern Munchen | 34c | 46.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 44.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FC Bayern Munchen | 24c | 43.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 34c | 37.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 76c | 37.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 53c | 37.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e7…a322backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 78c | 33.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 40c | 30.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed FC Bayern Munchen | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…4fbbbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 63c | 24.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d9…bef3backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 64c | 23.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…f4f8backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 22.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Bayern Munchen | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 77c | 19.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 53c | 19.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.