NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5220bcc1d6db4323bca59b71ce3b812585b2a7b86fd89815c87cb85ad1890188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,660 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 48c | 18,276$8,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,811.05 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 52c | 16,487$8,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,884.19 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 7,852$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670.08 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 54c | 4,673$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.65 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 59c | 2,526$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.09 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.3 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 39c | 1,714$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.86 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 54c | 1,520$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.2 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 52c | 1,457$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.31 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 768$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.32 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Under | 51c | 535.01$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 468.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 454.22$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.57 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 454.03$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 47c | 397.87$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 21c | 212.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa80…f251backed Under | 58c | 204.92$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2e…7913backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 42c | 182.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 140$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 48c | 101$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 41c | 100.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…0436backed Under | 54c | 65.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 59.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 57.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 46.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 51c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 31c | 42.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 74c | 40.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Under | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 48c | 36.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 32.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 34c | 32.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 48c | 31.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafcd…8014backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 70c | 23.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…fd96backed Over | 47c | 22.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 70c | 20.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Under | 56c | 20.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Golden KnightsWild won
- Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.