NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b43b32ba206632edb2edd509ab1b991eae7f4719a2f1252325fed6a1f59c5e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,200 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 62c | 721.9$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.32 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 38c | 671.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.28 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 644.74$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.01 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 557.85$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.33 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 40c | 492.66$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.59 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 38c | 329.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.48 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 60c | 279.58$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.83 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 62c | 241.52$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…8a3bbacked Under | 45c | 211.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 207.46$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 144.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 40c | 142.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.31 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Over | 60c | 128$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -13.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 38c | 116.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 31c | 110$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 53c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 64c | 62.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 64c | 59.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Over | 60c | 50.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 63c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 47c | 39.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 39c | 38.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 38c | 38.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 58c | 36.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…d795backed Over | 60c | 36.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 64c | 35.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 39c | 27.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 53c | 26.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 56c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…f7f0backed Over | 60c | 25.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…916dbacked Over | 60c | 24.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 60c | 24.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Golden KnightsWild won
- Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.