NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1304b73c87bf40415930330496874d04a0e8e66dd4ea1e1b48aceac2de7f15e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,075 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Wild | 30c | 2,728$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.01 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Golden Knights | 70c | 1,624$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.86 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden Knights | 70c | 913.33$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.33 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Golden Knights | 70c | 595$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.5 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Wild | 30c | 595$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Golden Knights | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wild | 30c | 468$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights | 70c | 291.67$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.17 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Wild | 30c | 266.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wild | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Golden Knights | 70c | 105$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Golden Knights | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Golden Knights | 68c | 82.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Golden Knights | 71c | 69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 66c | 67.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Golden Knights | 35c | 67.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Golden Knights | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Wild | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wild | 29c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Golden Knights | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Golden KnightsWild won
- Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.