Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d9d325fb04bd7d026e5eb29934f32c5ecd3108b2f5c30af1a4999830c932868

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $491,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $491,154 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	69,949$3,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,815.12	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	7c	28,079$1,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,888.35	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacb…45d7backed Yes	25c	27,458$6,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,909.65	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	0c	22,067$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.06	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	21,411$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.11	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	1c	15,194$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.9	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	6c	13,430$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.03	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Yes	9c	13,218$1,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254.86	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	11,687$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.37	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5f6…7d33backed Yes	1c	10,510$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.12	207	4.3%9 W · 198 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes	2c	10,314$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.89	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	10,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	7c	9,012$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.53	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	1c	8,915$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.32	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	3c	7,922$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.81	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b4…7092backed Yes	44c	7,431$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	83	8.4%7 W · 76 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb29…64f3backed Yes	13c	6,810$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$908.51	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+90.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	3c	6,721$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.53	138	9.4%13 W · 125 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes	5c	6,510$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.98	70	4.3%3 W · 67 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-87.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	14c	6,439$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884.31	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	2c	6,369$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	12c	6,209$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.43	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	12c	5,995$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.43	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	9c	5,958$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.13	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	1c	5,687$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.25	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Yes	9c	5,221$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.67	137	18.2%25 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	12c	5,023$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.45	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	10c	4,415$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.31	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6d…7516backed Yes	4c	4,264$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+187.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes	5c	4,242$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.8	131	16.8%22 W · 109 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	5c	4,000$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.5	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	5c	3,935$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.66	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	3,870$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	5c	3,757$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.46	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	3,352$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.42	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x252f…bfc1backed Yes	6c	3,350$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.97	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	3c	3,248$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.25	44	4.5%2 W · 42 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,134$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.83	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	17c	3,019$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.52	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	20c	3,000$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.43	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	26c	2,961$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$772.16	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…dff7backed Yes	10c	2,953$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.18	130	23.1%30 W · 100 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	1c	2,518$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.25	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	7c	2,395$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.77	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e95…c57bbacked Yes	2c	2,377$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf452…8ff9backed Yes	5c	2,335$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.75	151	28.5%43 W · 108 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	1c	2,271$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	4c	2,252$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.71	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0170…a17cbacked No	79c	2,213$1,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.3	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	11c	2,164$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.23	264	11.4%30 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	2,114$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.04	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	4c	2,089$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.11	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes	3c	2,029$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.01	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	9cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	1,984$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.74	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	4c	1,952$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.75	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	8c	1,914$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.23	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	9c	1,800$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.12	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x760e…119ebacked Yes	14c	1,777$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.33	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	1,733$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.39	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	5c	1,670$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.78	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	1,650$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.82	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	30c	1,650$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.14	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	1,636$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.51	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e4…28b8backed Yes	3c	1,591$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.12	83	16.9%14 W · 69 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Yes	7c	1,500$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.64	188	22.3%42 W · 146 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No	40c	1,496$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.1	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	1,433$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.05	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dfa…e524backed Yes	3c	1,400$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	39c	1,268$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	60c	1,200$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes	4c	1,200$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.2	218	18.3%40 W · 178 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	1,154$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.43	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdc1…3058backed No	78c	1,110$863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.84	93	38.7%36 W · 57 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes	18c	1,052$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.68	195	50.3%98 W · 97 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	7c	1,000$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	6c	999.99$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes	5c	971.53$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.62	154	30.5%47 W · 107 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	966.17$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.33	272	7%19 W · 253 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	2c	961.89$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b3…1e06backed Yes	1c	957$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	212	15.1%32 W · 180 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x063d…35c7backed Yes	1c	939.7$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	65	23.1%15 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	4c	898.92$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.24	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd897…9b49backed Yes	3c	865.31$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.04	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes	20c	852.78$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.88	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x913c…d100backed Yes	30c	836.52$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.96	28	50%14 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb614…2a44backed Yes	28c	825.89$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.12	113	39.8%45 W · 68 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…38e2backed Yes	5c	800.14$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.02	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb3…f8d6backed Yes	4c	800$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.99	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes	19c	778.98$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed No	21c	764$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.32	28	25%7 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	+60.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x308a…eed3backed Yes	8c	758.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.93	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+62.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c66…58bdbacked Yes	11c	746.72$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.04	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Yes	21c	734.46$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.8	201	29.4%59 W · 142 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7849…da97backed Yes	3c	715.48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.73	341	27.3%93 W · 248 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	8c	714.32$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.87	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes	28c	713.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37ef…93eebacked Yes	4c	711.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…eda5backed Yes	3c	705.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	14c	680.22$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.38	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	19c	666.61$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.86	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event