La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc200d086b232a89f1db7ee551be550b8fb6d4a9dda455f9e43a98954a2496ccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,001 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 68c | 2,801$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.47 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,794$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,535$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.09 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,249$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.39 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 68c | 1,035$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.11 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 32c | 1,035$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.1 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 19c | 999$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 32c | 700$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 686.63$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.96 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 543.14$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.24 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 19c | 363.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 13c | 264.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 26c | 216.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…e6c4backed No | 70c | 186.68$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 33c | 126.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 107.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 97.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Yes | 34c | 97.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 20c | 79.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 26c | 62.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…0436backed No | 69c | 43.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 41.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…91bebacked Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 28c | 38.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870c…b899backed No | 68c | 34.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…875ebacked No | 68c | 33.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 17.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.