La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x148eb054fabf00cc97f6f2a26d646e867645a6586f9eca860a78432474020037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,030 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa792…5353backed Yes | 76c | 6,574$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.31 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 3,945$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.65 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 3,275$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.96 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 20c | 2,943$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.23 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 26c | 1,090$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.89 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 25c | 754.18$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 608.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 482.83$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.12 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 18c | 215.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 111.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 72c | 104$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105a…a152backed Yes | 58c | 74.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 32c | 73.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Yes | 39c | 71.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 28c | 69.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 30c | 60.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 24c | 45.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 44.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 68c | 44.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 32c | 43.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 32c | 40.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 36c | 40.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…1743backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 26.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 18.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 18.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 71c | 18.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will CD Leganés vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.