La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61e4408fca757adfe4ded017999ecb71ca1770e58ca10f61bc093ed06d3c62f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,412 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 556.52$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 38c | 440.58$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.54 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 420$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 362.28$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.29 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 334$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 292.17$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 274.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 248.51$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad26…b883backed Yes | 35c | 232.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 35c | 125.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 35c | 117.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 112.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 36c | 96.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 11c | 92.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 33c | 59.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…2519backed Yes | 39c | 50.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 62c | 50.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 47.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…d869backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Yes | 35c | 43.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked No | 66c | 23.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…7437backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b6…b727backed No | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will CD Leganés vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.