Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7abe0d9ed1ea73d885eaf0d6fcfc7a6bb0ab3a033da4a1608f861cb2fa27a997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,594 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 49c | 44,691$21,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,898.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes | 52c | 28,926$14,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,932.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 51c | 25,739$13,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,611.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed No | 50c | 19,281$9,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,640.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 51c | 18,400$9,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,015.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 49c | 16,019$7,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,849.39 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 9,505$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539.3 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 27c | 6,854$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.49 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Yes | 69c | 6,605$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 62c | 6,204$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ce29backed Yes | 76c | 5,962$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 31c | 5,893$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,054.18 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 51c | 4,060$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.95 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 55c | 3,978$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.93 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 3,714$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.69 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 2,727$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.37 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x112c…dbdfbacked No | 50c | 2,224$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 2,087$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.46 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 51c | 1,662$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.61 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 50c | 1,620$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 1,486$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.06 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 49c | 1,400$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 49c | 1,395$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.8 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 50c | 1,394$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.04 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 31c | 1,227$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.37 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 26c | 1,079$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.9 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…f117backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Yes | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 958.03$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.29 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 70c | 947.5$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.01 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 50c | 920$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 17c | 862$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 71c | 839.29$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.29 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 51c | 788.14$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed No | 50c | 778$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 50c | 705.99$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 49c | 599.98$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed No | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 67c | 450$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 437.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.05 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 33c | 400.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.59 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 51c | 392.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 50c | 354$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 51c | 349.02$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed No | 34c | 342$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 66c | 335.64$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.1 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 70c | 283.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 67c | 233.61$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Yes | 69c | 203.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Yes | 51c | 196.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…237dbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Yes | 50c | 196$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 38c | 194.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 68c | 192.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.43 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 51c | 182.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 50c | 177.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…1b5cbacked No | 51c | 172$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb397…7c2ebacked Yes | 51c | 171$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa184…be70backed No | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Yes | 50c | 140.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked No | 51c | 139.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 49c | 134.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 41c | 132.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-03-06?No won
- Will FC Schalke 04 vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.