CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x337d7e3cd21812d1c5230f224a89ddfacd872e5e704ca590efb3a41294e5b47a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,105 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked K27 | 66c | 3,676$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.22 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 35c | 2,246$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.67 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Johnny Speeds | 35c | 2,077$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.18 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed K27 | 63c | 1,716$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.81 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Johnny Speeds | 29c | 1,063$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.77 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 821.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed K27 | 63c | 799.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…d50abacked K27 | 64c | 679.13$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed K27 | 63c | 601.97$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.92 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked K27 | 63c | 584.22$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Johnny Speeds | 31c | 554.64$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…12ecbacked K27 | 64c | 469.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Johnny Speeds | 38c | 465.06$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.11 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed K27 | 64c | 325$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Johnny Speeds | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Johnny Speeds | 29c | 273.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Johnny Speeds | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Johnny Speeds | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked K27 | 65c | 267.72$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Johnny Speeds | 35c | 222.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Johnny Speeds | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked K27 | 67c | 169.69$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked Johnny Speeds | 21c | 159.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked K27 | 67c | 155$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Johnny Speeds | 33c | 149$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Johnny Speeds | 36c | 131.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Johnny Speeds | 13c | 126$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Johnny Speeds | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 112$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Johnny Speeds | 33c | 110$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Johnny Speeds | 33c | 109$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked K27 | 64c | 108.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed K27 | 71c | 108.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Johnny Speeds | 30c | 105.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Johnny Speeds | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Johnny Speeds | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 21c | 80.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed K27 | 66c | 61.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed K27 | 64c | 60.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked K27 | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Johnny Speeds | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Johnny Speeds | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Johnny Speeds | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Johnny Speeds | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Johnny Speeds | 31c | 54.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Johnny Speeds | 22c | 50.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…e5d6backed Johnny Speeds | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Johnny Speeds | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Johnny Speeds | 33c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked K27 | 68c | 42.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Johnny Speeds | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked K27 | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed K27 | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked K27 | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Johnny Speeds | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…947cbacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 29.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked K27 | 70c | 27.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…5290backed K27 | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed K27 | 63c | 20.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked K27 | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked K27 | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed K27 | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0d…9115backed K27 | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0a…3a55backed K27 | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…25f6backed K27 | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Johnny Speeds - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.