CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39e5c43456cbf9099eba399c69717a93274212b8b4954640f824a2b5d5a85df4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof NIP, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $652,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $682,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $652,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked NIP | 56c | 103,618$58,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,026.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Legacy | 45c | 100,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,000 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…14dbbacked NIP | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Legacy | 38c | 24,860$9,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,381.62 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Legacy | 44c | 20,079$8,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,274.76 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed NIP | 65c | 15,615$10,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.14 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Legacy | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.98 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Legacy | 63c | 11,234$7,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.76 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…fceabacked NIP | 1c | 10,234$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed NIP | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed NIP | 57c | 9,710$5,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,534.7 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed NIP | 60c | 9,201$5,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,522.99 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed NIP | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed NIP | 55c | 9,000$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,974.96 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc531…47e5backed Legacy | 46c | 8,899$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,813.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed NIP | 55c | 8,590$4,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,709.39 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Legacy | 44c | 7,777$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,354.99 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Legacy | 47c | 6,773$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.38 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed NIP | 55c | 6,720$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.27 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed NIP | 37c | 6,150$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.61 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Legacy | 44c | 6,052$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.04 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Legacy | 54c | 5,999$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.64 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Legacy | 43c | 5,943$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.38 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NIP | 0c | 5,942$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Legacy | 44c | 5,854$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291.99 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked NIP | 26c | 4,703$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.43 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 42c | 4,204$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.71 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked NIP | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.99 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP | 38c | 3,792$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.33 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae9…0801backed NIP | 57c | 3,570$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed NIP | 57c | 3,523$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.87 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed NIP | 42c | 3,471$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.02 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Legacy | 44c | 3,427$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.04 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed NIP | 57c | 3,183$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.64 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked NIP | 56c | 3,107$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.11 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Legacy | 44c | 2,901$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.41 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed NIP | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked NIP | 55c | 2,492$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.58 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed NIP | 28c | 2,464$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.33 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Legacy | 46c | 2,378$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.25 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked NIP | 56c | 2,277$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Legacy | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.72 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Legacy | 44c | 2,220$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.2 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked NIP | 57c | 2,193$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed NIP | 40c | 2,192$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.53 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…dd64backed NIP | 44c | 2,100$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.77 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed NIP | 53c | 2,024$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.09 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Legacy | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.98 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NIP | 29c | 1,982$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.92 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Legacy | 44c | 1,977$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.17 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…2da0backed NIP | 56c | 1,877$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.12 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed NIP | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked NIP | 44c | 1,712$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6145…36babacked Legacy | 78c | 1,637$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 26c | 1,613$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.39 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed NIP | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked NIP | 8c | 1,574$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked NIP | 49c | 1,549$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.58 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked NIP | 14c | 1,418$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Legacy | 62c | 1,400$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.26 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Legacy | 43c | 1,257$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.65 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked NIP | 29c | 1,250$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.04 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked NIP | 64c | 1,244$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.47 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Legacy | 46c | 1,210$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed NIP | 56c | 1,162$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.78 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…44c3backed Legacy | 45c | 1,119$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.78 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed NIP | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Legacy | 46c | 1,055$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.97 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed NIP | 32c | 1,011$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.52 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Legacy | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed NIP | 37c | 1,000$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.41 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.72 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Legacy | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed NIP | 45c | 975.99$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.38 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed NIP | 55c | 962.71$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.08 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked NIP | 47c | 954.57$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.65 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed NIP | 52c | 917.1$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.44 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked NIP | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed NIP | 56c | 892$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.52 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Legacy | 54c | 887.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.48 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed NIP | 56c | 873.87$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.37 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked NIP | 9c | 845.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Legacy | 44c | 842.02$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.53 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed NIP | 37c | 819.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…1d60backed NIP | 6c | 811.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked NIP | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Legacy | 44c | 749.71$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.13 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked NIP | 64c | 746.11$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…8c92backed NIP | 49c | 743.32$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.8 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c19…b79dbacked Legacy | 45c | 729.07$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Legacy | 44c | 718.01$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed NIP | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed NIP | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…f2bfbacked NIP | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…c16fbacked Legacy | 45c | 680$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…b24abacked Legacy | 45c | 670$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked NIP | 57c | 668.72$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.17 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked NIP | 52c | 660.61$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.05 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Legacy | 60c | 659.19$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.17 | 113 | 61.1%69 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…608bbacked NIP | 56c | 650$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1this page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.