TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof NIP, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Legacy36c7,208$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,633.253,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed NIP60c5,058$3,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.11,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Legacy41c2,109$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.5924550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Legacy57c1,784$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.7933457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb000…5ca6backed NIP74c1,652$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2277342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Legacy28c1,350$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9721,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Legacy35c1,223$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.072,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed NIP55c1,141$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.027054.3%38 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed NIP56c1,109$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.784,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed NIP48c1,081$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.7369635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked NIP66c1,078$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.792,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed NIP59c856.52$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.1121941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Legacy46c827.04$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.011,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Legacy45c799.99$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44158651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Legacy7c749.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.4941716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP47c744$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.053,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NIP47c677.94$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.185,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked NIP58c608.16$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.245,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NIP48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2885,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Legacy38c544.52$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.7122927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Legacy19c502.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.847738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39b2…0ca7backed Legacy59c500.32$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.182152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed NIP76c422.39$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.0120942.1%88 W · 121 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked NIP56c406.74$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4614742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Legacy14c400$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34257322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed NIP49c391.31$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1909646.9%45 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed NIP56c309.03$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.984953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed NIP48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14431444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed NIP49c296.6$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.611,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed NIP72c278.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2952947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Legacy40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed NIP41c246.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008053.8%43 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Legacy45c198.29$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10946447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…f764backed Legacy51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.123754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf4…b11abacked Legacy41c181.92$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.594961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Legacy40c152.41$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4528046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a06…cf08backed NIP67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x022d…d8cebacked Legacy23c130.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4317050%85 W · 85 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b13…07f5backed NIP54c125.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685250%26 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NIP55c122.21$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.786,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Legacy37c111.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.445956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c83…fceabacked NIP54c101.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4814…9a18backed NIP49c101.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503243.8%14 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Legacy47c99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4712941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed NIP44c94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.61,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed NIP48c86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2822045.5%100 W · 120 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Legacy56c80.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9534848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x055a…d83bbacked NIP45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked Legacy56c73.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.214660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed NIP58c71.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4933352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Legacy47c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4110960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed NIP48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed NIP49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked NIP43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.869624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Legacy27c58.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6736846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Legacy50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1260147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked NIP38c55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9510227.5%28 W · 74 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x207f…019dbacked Legacy45c53.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.54319.7%3 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-72.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP54c52.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.777,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44e…c6b8backed NIP69c51.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.036947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed Legacy24c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.113060%78 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06fd…2a05backed Legacy44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Legacy48c45.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.851,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked NIP59c45.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7138452.1%200 W · 184 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Legacy42c42.13$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.61,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed NIP59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.616750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac5d…7235backed NIP52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204165.9%27 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Legacy38c37.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.475,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Legacy42c35.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.663514.3%5 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed NIP50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed Legacy42c33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1429465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Legacy46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6126443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5198…e647backed Legacy48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Legacy38c31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3546344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xece0…1754backed NIP60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Legacy41c27.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.021,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef0d…ef1cbacked NIP40c25.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.121631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdf…6498backed NIP52c25.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.082962.1%18 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1213…5ed6backed NIP70c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.483141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked NIP45c22.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.112941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38d9…1efebacked NIP50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed NIP48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked NIP50c20.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81c0…8b96backed NIP53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked NIP64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.