CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7731e41eecbc09caf86ef8552db6f19bad88112a00c58f789b4e6c9b7ea57967
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Legacy | 37c | 12,132$4,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,488.88 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed NIP | 63c | 6,505$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.95 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Legacy | 47c | 4,812$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.59 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed NIP | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Legacy | 68c | 2,763$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.36 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed NIP | 80c | 2,421$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.63 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed NIP | 60c | 1,833$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.05 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5389…f1d4backed Legacy | 10c | 1,592$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed NIP | 63c | 1,585$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.35 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked NIP | 35c | 1,481$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.2 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…dd64backed Legacy | 47c | 1,303$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NIP | 51c | 1,129$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.32 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Legacy | 40c | 1,045$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed NIP | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked NIP | 69c | 872.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Legacy | 24c | 850$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.63 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Legacy | 7c | 750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed NIP | 57c | 750$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed NIP | 62c | 700$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP | 50c | 681.19$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.69 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Legacy | 24c | 662.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed NIP | 69c | 600$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 42c | 584.11$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Legacy | 53c | 558.25$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.14 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked NIP | 63c | 525$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Legacy | 46c | 524.7$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.49 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Legacy | 44c | 516$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.37 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Legacy | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed NIP | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 64c | 480.27$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Legacy | 37c | 480.02$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.61 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked NIP | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed NIP | 63c | 463.73$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.24 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Legacy | 43c | 461.59$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.11 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…441fbacked Legacy | 30c | 332.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed NIP | 68c | 329.96$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NIP | 37c | 313.19$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.23 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked NIP | 43c | 307.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed NIP | 53c | 272.45$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Legacy | 40c | 254.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP | 70c | 228.23$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NIP | 65c | 225$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked NIP | 62c | 216.55$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed NIP | 63c | 211$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed NIP | 34c | 210$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Legacy | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked Legacy | 27c | 184.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf91…5010backed NIP | 60c | 166.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…fceabacked Legacy | 36c | 166.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 68c | 158$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Legacy | 34c | 157.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 66c | 155$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Legacy | 57c | 150.88$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked Legacy | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked NIP | 71c | 135$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Legacy | 39c | 134.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Legacy | 40c | 129.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Legacy | 48c | 119$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed NIP | 52c | 119$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Legacy | 39c | 112.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Legacy | 39c | 108.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Legacy | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Legacy | 24c | 101.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…b083backed NIP | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed NIP | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed Legacy | 36c | 99.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Legacy | 43c | 94.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP | 47c | 90.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Legacy | 45c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed NIP | 57c | 77.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Legacy | 39c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…bbfabacked NIP | 62c | 68.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Legacy | 37c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed NIP | 62c | 64.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Legacy | 26c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed NIP | 49c | 61.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked NIP | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked NIP | 57c | 52.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed NIP | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…52b3backed Legacy | 30c | 49.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed NIP | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed NIP | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked NIP | 63c | 41.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NIP | 50c | 37.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…b3a8backed Legacy | 33c | 37.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Legacy | 41c | 36.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…3627backed NIP | 63c | 31.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…3544backed NIP | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed NIP | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Legacy | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed NIP | 66c | 23.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Legacy | 68c | 21.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed NIP | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed NIP | 63c | 18.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked NIP | 60c | 17.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked NIP | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Legacy won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.