Australian A League · resolved market
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb58c76952e9818d613fabbc9bffe273f1da053cd2d0c23dde324d20f97202726
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,745 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked No | 43c | 68,854$29,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,246.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 56c | 54,575$30,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,743.51 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 57c | 30,290$17,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,265.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 43c | 27,470$11,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,634.42 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 25,278$11,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,236.3 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Yes | 57c | 14,097$8,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,035 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 13,789$7,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,441.28 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 56c | 12,801$7,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,224.21 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 41cpaid | -77%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 58c | 8,506$4,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.22 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 53c | 7,091$3,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,758.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 55c | 5,414$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 43c | 5,000$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 45c | 4,679$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.88 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.08 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed No | 47c | 3,820$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 23c | 3,270$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.42 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Yes | 27c | 3,223$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 40c | 2,780$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 54c | 2,764$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 45c | 2,691$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.97 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 2,680$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.51 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 34c | 2,600$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed No | 61c | 2,600$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 46c | 2,466$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a0…610ebacked No | 47c | 2,447$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed No | 46c | 2,160$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 2,000$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.17 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 56c | 1,861$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,726$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 47c | 1,526$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 23c | 1,265$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.29 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 57c | 1,250$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.5 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,115$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.43 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200d…f117backed Yes | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 6c | 1,054$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.42per pick | 14cpaid | +367.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 44c | 940.35$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.23 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 921.96$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.5 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes | 56c | 832.21$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked No | 47c | 816$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 45c | 770.01$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.85 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 721.66$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.96 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 56c | 709.81$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed Yes | 15c | 699.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 44c | 680$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 22c | 679.6$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.58 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 49c | 648.48$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.19 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 45c | 624.9$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.69 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 37c | 616.27$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.06 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 39c | 612.82$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 42c | 544$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Yes | 43c | 542.36$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 37c | 539.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 532.36$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.34 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Yes | 58c | 515.57$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 54c | 499.96$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 57c | 493$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.27 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 43c | 464.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 43c | 450$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 41c | 447$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.16 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 44c | 416.54$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.97 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 38c | 409.09$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Yes | 56c | 392.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 51c | 390.17$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Yes | 47c | 389$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 378.79$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.82 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 30c | 352.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +65%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 29c | 346.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 56c | 305.09$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 31c | 295.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 54c | 278.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 32c | 262$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 57c | 237.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 57c | 236.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 57c | 232.06$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed Yes | 44c | 225.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 44c | 225$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Yes | 57c | 224.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 53c | 221.1$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Yes | 55c | 216.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 212.62$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.