Australian A League · resolved market
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5388cd9dc6416b481b8e964fc5dc2505bb3063f277f575b99cb04d3642459a2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,838 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 31c | 23,762$7,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,416.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 10,645$6,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.43 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Yes | 22c | 10,273$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,013.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 68c | 6,226$4,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.74 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 4,197$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.69 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 3,239$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.63 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 2,135$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.06 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 78c | 1,906$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,420$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.56 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,104$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.23 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed No | 41c | 1,025$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 803.01$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.92 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 771.44$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 78c | 732.05$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Yes | 30c | 715.53$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 600$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 33c | 597.18$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 68c | 519.09$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 19c | 430.05$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Yes | 78c | 365.54$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…814dbacked Yes | 23c | 360$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +223.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 23c | 326.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 17c | 313.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 23c | 300.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 38cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 73c | 282.09$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 36c | 277.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…efa4backed No | 61c | 268.85$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked No | 21c | 218$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 30c | 190.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 23c | 187.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 30c | 177.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 30c | 176.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 160$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 78c | 151.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 149.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.95 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 138.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 31c | 134.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…f435backed Yes | 55c | 114.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 67c | 109.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked No | 71c | 108$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 77c | 105.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…18f3backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 71c | 98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed No | 75c | 90.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 90.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.67 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 77c | 90$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 79.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 53c | 68.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 78c | 64.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d0…d172backed Yes | 71c | 63.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 58.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 57.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 68c | 52.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed No | 78c | 51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 65c | 50.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 29c | 49.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…d262backed Yes | 45c | 48.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bc…eb11backed No | 78c | 42.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd17…61f4backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8387…376cbacked No | 69c | 40.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed No | 78c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 78c | 32.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…4b53backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…7775backed Yes | 49c | 31.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 61c | 26.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 79c | 23.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 72c | 20.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 17.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-06?No won
- Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.