CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f79113b3e852ca763148581165b43210709887707ad7227b3cf8ee584705efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof megoshort, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,648 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 4,620$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.46 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked megoshort | 44c | 2,640$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.2 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked megoshort | 34c | 2,634$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.11 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…e42cbacked megoshort | 39c | 2,367$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.57 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 2,306$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.68 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked megoshort | 40c | 1,766$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.82 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…e45fbacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 1,695$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed megoshort | 40c | 1,591$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.37 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 1,400$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.3 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…727fbacked Eternal Fire | 56c | 1,285$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.57 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed megoshort | 40c | 1,222$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.86 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed megoshort | 44c | 526.09$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.59 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed megoshort | 44c | 470.23$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.36 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 453.65$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf73…53edbacked megoshort | 44c | 430.16$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed megoshort | 33c | 399.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…9a6cbacked megoshort | 46c | 306.21$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…d0b8backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 304.74$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 286.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Eternal Fire | 57c | 273.44$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed megoshort | 39c | 269.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked Eternal Fire | 58c | 262.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…1ab1backed megoshort | 41c | 261.64$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 253.59$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 252.8$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire | 76c | 252.28$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 236$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed megoshort | 43c | 233.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed megoshort | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Eternal Fire | 67c | 196.36$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f67…1ee6backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked megoshort | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 108.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked megoshort | 14c | 100.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked megoshort | 41c | 100.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed megoshort | 47c | 86.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 80.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…2e0dbacked megoshort | 34c | 78.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566b…bcbbbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Eternal Fire | 66c | 72.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…aec4backed megoshort | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed megoshort | 39c | 69.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed megoshort | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed megoshort | 40c | 62.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed megoshort | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked megoshort | 43c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 55.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed megoshort | 23c | 50.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…947cbacked megoshort | 54c | 50.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 48.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Eternal Fire | 66c | 45.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b93…1290backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 31.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 29.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed megoshort | 42c | 28.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 27.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked megoshort | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 470 | 47.9%225 W · 245 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…8cd1backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 23.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 21.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…699bbacked Eternal Fire | 57c | 21.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…bef8backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 20.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Eternal Fire | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs megoshort (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.