TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,924

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,924 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Cavaliers53c23,230$12,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,012.451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers43c14,011$5,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,998.954,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed 76ers49c11,326$5,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,534.3621549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers42c6,217$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,609.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers59c6,072$3,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.022,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers46c6,005$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,753.554,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Cavaliers60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.535942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed 76ers43c3,476$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.4937842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Cavaliers59c3,231$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.557759.7%46 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Cavaliers57c2,856$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.0220846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Cavaliers56c2,486$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.857850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers44c2,175$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.752,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4aa…45dabacked Cavaliers53c1,670$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x055d…4e3ebacked Cavaliers53c1,620$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7528…4f6dbacked Cavaliers53c1,570$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers42c1,538$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…4791backed Cavaliers53c1,520$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd74d…d4f6backed Cavaliers53c1,470$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x841a…3999backed Cavaliers53c1,420$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers38c1,186$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.743,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Cavaliers56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.0950954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed 76ers41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers60c893$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.551,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers60c831.54$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.973,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed 76ers52c808$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.162,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Cavaliers55c730.11$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.552,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Cavaliers51c644.14$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.7318438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed 76ers33c632.24$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8445452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers43c602.8$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.952,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed 76ers50c532$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2661,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed 76ers41c481.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8222846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers47c450.75$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2123,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed 76ers46c447.66$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.859553.7%51 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers40c432.69$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.223,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers42c430.1$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.534,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a7…7916backed Cavaliers60c416$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.43250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers57c398.83$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.712,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked 76ers41c392$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.0134851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed 76ers41c390.87$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3278…3c52backed 76ers47c390$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed98…933ebacked 76ers47c380$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9264…a0e0backed 76ers47c370$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6b…1651backed 76ers47c360$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Cavaliers56c354.1$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.862347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb10…f669backed Cavaliers52c353$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x086a…2fc0backed 76ers47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89eb…0ed2backed 76ers47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4f…c649backed 76ers47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked 76ers41c343.7$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.745646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…1acabacked 76ers47c340$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c4…24c7backed 76ers47c340$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…825abacked 76ers47c340$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked 76ers46c337.52$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6330845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4032…4346backed 76ers47c330$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x575f…f1a6backed 76ers47c330$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd196…6d5dbacked 76ers47c320$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2916…c08dbacked 76ers47c320$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7514…53b7backed 76ers47c310$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2c0…1324backed 76ers47c310$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6023…4f9abacked 76ers47c310$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ef…3be8backed 76ers47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bea…2e4dbacked 76ers47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc653…f396backed 76ers47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf2e…0806backed 76ers47c290$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4617…0575backed 76ers47c280$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed 76ers44c271.06$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2752844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a1…d7e1backed 76ers47c270$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8e…56d7backed 76ers47c270$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed 76ers48c266.79$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.065040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed 76ers46c265.86$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.622746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa3…6964backed 76ers47c260$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f2…f2c6backed 76ers47c260$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers46c258.76$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.035,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Cavaliers56c256.93$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0510556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9396…10ccbacked 76ers47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Cavaliers55c249.52$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.528647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46bb…abbebacked Cavaliers52c248$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked 76ers41c244.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cavaliers68c240.95$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.111,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc901…ba9cbacked 76ers47c240$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc00b…ae4ebacked 76ers47c230$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…f6f8backed 76ers47c220$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe762…22cfbacked Cavaliers52c215$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Cavaliers52c211.92$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9224856.5%140 W · 108 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8b5…9153backed 76ers48c207.19$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.453138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92fc…2f25backed 76ers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed 76ers47c198.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Cavaliers52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.678652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Cavaliers74c194.73$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1588057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4884…589bbacked 76ers48c192$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb792…1658backed Cavaliers48c189.73$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+67.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed 76ers47c178$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked 76ers41c172$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d9…44a2backed 76ers48c169$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers46c166.39$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.691,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9118…020bbacked 76ers50c164$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x312b…5266backed 76ers45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4227…8c10backed Cavaliers55c159.38$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.883444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85f4…9a7cbacked 76ers48c157$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x474b…249bbacked 76ers53c156.32$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.851145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.