TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,878 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce39…04d6backed 76ers40c2,872$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.9637842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers46c2,645$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.921,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e02…ff02backed Cavaliers56c2,170$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…7fc8backed Cavaliers56c2,120$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e3…53d7backed Cavaliers56c2,070$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabe2…f6d2backed Cavaliers56c2,020$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd600…e5bbbacked Cavaliers56c1,970$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x031c…a58dbacked Cavaliers56c1,920$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08cd…a0e8backed Cavaliers56c1,870$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac9…9916backed Cavaliers56c1,820$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e83…7ed6backed Cavaliers56c1,770$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers60c1,743$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf3…8c14backed Cavaliers56c1,720$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers38c1,601$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.074,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers56c1,367$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.851,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Cavaliers60c1,283$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.6128245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers73c1,112$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.568,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Cavaliers63c1,014$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1120352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed 76ers37c732.94$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.6118438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers44c651.5$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.24,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed 76ers42c595.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Cavaliers56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.711973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Cavaliers62c522.93$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.514454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5148…f775backed 76ers44c490$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Cavaliers62c483.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.91,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a42…5f63backed 76ers44c480$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5196…6d08backed 76ers44c470$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda01…3809backed 76ers44c460$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8521…35b5backed 76ers44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb12f…0effbacked 76ers44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…f477backed 76ers44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8048…7270backed 76ers44c440$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd117…60ccbacked 76ers44c440$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a13…952fbacked 76ers44c440$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6b…882fbacked 76ers44c430$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae9…3bcebacked 76ers44c430$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x599a…035cbacked 76ers44c430$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c14…cc8fbacked 76ers44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8379…2889backed 76ers44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6924…fc1cbacked 76ers44c420$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e75…aaa9backed 76ers44c410$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a07…683fbacked 76ers44c410$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…a1edbacked 76ers44c410$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7a…d2cbbacked 76ers44c410$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd15…d9c0backed 76ers44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…8663backed 76ers44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef2…0820backed 76ers44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a8…1e1dbacked 76ers44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Cavaliers64c397.42$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.071872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed 76ers8c392$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.362,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9373…c55cbacked 76ers44c390$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe415…549dbacked 76ers44c390$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe752…ff72backed 76ers44c390$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f4…4bbfbacked 76ers44c380$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc416…9066backed 76ers44c380$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5c0…9a3bbacked 76ers44c380$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf354…5645backed 76ers44c370$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed07…e50fbacked 76ers44c370$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x474e…6d16backed 76ers44c370$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac52…d1aabacked 76ers44c370$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabab…c93fbacked 76ers44c360$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d53…be8ebacked 76ers44c360$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e3…8eeebacked 76ers44c360$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1c…fd77backed 76ers44c360$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4547…9b99backed 76ers44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e6f…2b0dbacked 76ers44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe89d…fadebacked 76ers44c340$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2af…b7d5backed 76ers44c340$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5135…ff8abacked 76ers44c330$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68fa…ebc9backed 76ers44c330$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e3…e22dbacked 76ers44c320$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e92…be88backed 76ers44c320$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…9fe7backed 76ers44c310$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d4…3ecebacked 76ers44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed 76ers36c292.85$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0285…d7dfbacked 76ers44c290$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80a8…a4b2backed 76ers44c280$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Cavaliers59c269.11$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1127847.1%131 W · 147 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Cavaliers57c263.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8116837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers37c263.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.83,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Cavaliers60c248.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2926745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Cavaliers60c246.8$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9110953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Cavaliers65c241.75$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.636552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers38c236.34$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.923,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Cavaliers56c215.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5324856.5%140 W · 108 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a1…67b0backed Cavaliers55c206.73$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.623756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Cavaliers61c192.11$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9217960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x599f…a6c1backed 76ers44c176$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.44540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Cavaliers58c173.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.3638152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Cavaliers52c165.57$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4737549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers42c163.64$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.735,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7d…2562backed 76ers42c160$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Cavaliers64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254643.5%20 W · 26 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7d3e…a977backed 76ers41c154$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked 76ers40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024428.7%70 W · 174 L-22.4wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 76ers36c146.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.711,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers41c144.89$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.831,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Cavaliers60c136.95$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.784562.2%28 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+55.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers44c134.33$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.112,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Cavaliers60c133.17$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1728554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.