TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,098 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd832…4200backed Over56c12,472$7,000 inLost-$7,000825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c9,393$4,037 inWon+$5,356.215,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under50c2,800$1,400 inWon+$1,40024942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over50c1,500$750 inLost-$7501,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under44c1,500$665 inWon+$8351,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Under51c1,486$752 inWon+$733.9611741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under51c1,123$578 inWon+$544.947542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968d…6947backed Over52c980.17$513 inLost-$51360%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over49c902$442 inLost-$441.9843052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c697.38$335 inWon+$362.472,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Over50c411$206 inLost-$205.522945.9%105 W · 124 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c311.82$150 inWon+$161.644,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc87d…6f31backed Under51c287.31$147 inWon+$140.781747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over48c112.77$54 inLost-$54.1318438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c112.72$54 inLost-$54.112,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over50c100$50 inLost-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over48c74.96$36 inLost-$35.9826353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa839…6f8cbacked Over49c74.31$36 inLost-$36.411338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x533c…eb85backed Over49c73.05$36 inLost-$35.791258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee0…bf55backed Over49c71.83$35 inLost-$35.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16d2…a07abacked Over49c68.12$33 inLost-$33.381030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-47.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Under51c64.55$33 inWon+$31.635558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over50c56$28 inLost-$2895260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…c55abacked Over50c54.54$27 inLost-$27.274557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under47c50$24 inWon+$26.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over49c41$20 inLost-$20.0927345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Under53c40.62$22 inWon+$19.096963.8%44 W · 25 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over50c39.6$20 inLost-$19.892058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over48c39$19 inLost-$18.7246447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked Under51c38$19 inWon+$18.622050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over49c31$15 inLost-$15.1932947.4%156 W · 173 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over49c30$15 inLost-$14.71,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Over46c22.29$10 inLost-$10.291,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.