TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,813 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd832…4200backed Over53c19,017$10,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,025.52825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under47c18,564$8,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,911.2943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c14,399$6,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,525.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under49c10,181$4,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,236.42,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c7,000$3,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.491,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c6,894$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,381.262,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under48c6,367$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,310.8421549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under49c6,363$3,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,245.338251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over64c4,926$3,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,162.5417246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c4,560$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.8565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ef…3be8backed Over55c4,062$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9264…a0e0backed Under45c3,958$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9396…10ccbacked Over55c3,918$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,154.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f2…f2c6backed Under45c3,914$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,152.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2916…c08dbacked Under45c3,840$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x086a…2fc0backed Under45c3,804$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7514…53b7backed Over55c3,766$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,071.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…825abacked Under45c3,688$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,028.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c3,646$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.464,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7528…4f6dbacked Under45c3,560$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc901…ba9cbacked Over55c3,528$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x575f…f1a6backed Under45c3,514$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,932.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6b…1651backed Over55c3,492$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed98…933ebacked Over55c3,400$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd196…6d5dbacked Over55c3,398$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.9825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb20…4791backed Under45c3,324$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf2e…0806backed Under45c3,310$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3278…3c52backed Over55c3,258$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb4f…c649backed Under45c3,146$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a1…d7e1backed Over55c3,144$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4aa…45dabacked Under45c3,098$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4617…0575backed Over55c3,024$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4032…4346backed Over55c3,006$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…1acabacked Over55c2,992$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x055d…4e3ebacked Under45c2,972$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c2,941$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.598,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under45c2,492$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.923,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c2,235$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00029347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over53c1,887$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99510847.2%51 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bea…2e4dbacked Over55c1,340$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under49c1,250$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63547542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over54c1,100$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.1791050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c1,004$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.62,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba45…87f3backed Over53c999.58$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.711070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c936.74$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under44c795.57$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.571968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4302…4f64backed Under47c785$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c726.79$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.433,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under46c684.73$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.0851354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under79c635.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9635942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Over52c607.78$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3162828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c607$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.641,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under44c602$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.1295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under48c573$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.731,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over56c536.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under43c523.18$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.542,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over53c483.02$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25618241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6f3b…d0b8backed Under46c476.83$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.321060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under45c458.19$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over29c450.94$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.723,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c416.85$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.371,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.623349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over52c307.69$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under74c305.62$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.811,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under9c300$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27330224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c256.06$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.955,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under41c250.18$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.612,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over28c237.79$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49b3…b137backed Under47c213$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10811957.1%68 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over33c184.33$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.991,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe436…159fbacked Under47c179$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over53c171.43$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9159650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e5…7298backed Under44c168.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+62.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30d8…7185backed Under48c161$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under74c160$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.421,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under69c152.36$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c150.8$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.061,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…5bf9backed Under46c146$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.84333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f67…9f4bbacked Under47c145$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b83…9a65backed Under44c141$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3556…2424backed Under47c137$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.61475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over53c135.81$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.621,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd412…8790backed Under47c135$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c133.25$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.273,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over19c131.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Over53c131.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9522846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under45c131.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2620350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x950a…a806backed Under44c123.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+52.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over53c123.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2276552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Over49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a50…38a9backed Over54c121.69$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…022dbacked Under45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under46c109.92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1839943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f9…a346backed Over56c103.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.