CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Ground Zero (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc72843acaa48b5bf4392e327c9cc6f81f66d63a57bd3fc63c8a30fb6e917bff4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof Mindfreak, Ground Zero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Mindfreak | 43c | 3,400$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.99 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Ground Zero | 56c | 1,544$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.66 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Ground Zero | 57c | 1,272$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.95 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Mindfreak | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed Ground Zero | 57c | 589.41$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.58 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mindfreak | 44c | 573.12$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.14 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Ground Zero | 57c | 573$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.39 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Mindfreak | 46c | 545.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.15 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Ground Zero | 58c | 529.3$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.31 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ground Zero | 65c | 446.54$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mindfreak | 11c | 419.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mindfreak | 43c | 395.17$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mindfreak | 27c | 378.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Ground Zero | 57c | 359.42$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Mindfreak | 19c | 324.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Mindfreak | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Mindfreak | 20c | 292.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…9185backed Mindfreak | 45c | 270$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd77f…05a4backed Ground Zero | 54c | 270$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Ground Zero | 58c | 260$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed Mindfreak | 42c | 260$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…b543backed Ground Zero | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ground Zero | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Mindfreak | 33c | 254.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Mindfreak | 42c | 250.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Ground Zero | 57c | 221.05$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…e300backed Mindfreak | 13c | 213.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Mindfreak | 24c | 211.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Ground Zero | 58c | 194.43$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Ground Zero | 58c | 172.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Ground Zero | 59c | 168.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Ground Zero | 77c | 166.64$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…6633backed Mindfreak | 28c | 156.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Mindfreak | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Ground Zero | 57c | 149.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Ground Zero | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Mindfreak | 21c | 123.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb08…e1abbacked Mindfreak | 28c | 120.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Mindfreak | 46c | 112.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…d3d2backed Mindfreak | 23c | 110.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Mindfreak | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Ground Zero | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Ground Zero | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…d03fbacked Mindfreak | 34c | 96.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Mindfreak | 21c | 93.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Ground Zero | 56c | 91.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Ground Zero | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Mindfreak | 39c | 87.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Ground Zero | 54c | 72.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Ground Zero | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Mindfreak | 34c | 66.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Ground Zero | 58c | 63.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5426backed Ground Zero | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Ground Zero | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Mindfreak | 73c | 54.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mindfreak | 41c | 54.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Ground Zero | 63c | 52.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Ground Zero | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Ground Zero | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Mindfreak | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed Ground Zero | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…68dabacked Ground Zero | 59c | 47.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Ground Zero | 55c | 45.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed Ground Zero | 68c | 43.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 41 | 85.4%35 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Ground Zero | 35c | 42.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Ground Zero | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…947cbacked Ground Zero | 79c | 40.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…02b5backed Ground Zero | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Ground Zero | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Ground Zero | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Ground Zero | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…1adebacked Ground Zero | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Ground Zero | 54c | 23.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…7111backed Ground Zero | 70c | 17.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa26b…e499backed Ground Zero | 73c | 16.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed Ground Zero | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.