Australian A League · resolved market
Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb98b3282f5bb6c575af591eda62a0e7eb9daa448fb708cf7319008281a53c403
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,068 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 32,343$11,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,700.39 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 25,703$13,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,689.2 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.92 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 12,000$5,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,840 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a4…c6a4backed Over | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 63c | 3,568$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.69 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 64c | 3,103$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 50c | 2,539$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 1,866$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.05 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…d60ebacked Over | 51c | 1,736$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,709$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.32 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 38c | 1,507$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 64c | 1,499$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 37c | 1,306$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…6579backed Over | 67c | 1,275$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 65c | 1,263$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.22 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 60c | 1,146$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.95 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…016dbacked Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 801.42$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Over | 51c | 650.83$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 32c | 622.46$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.27 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 36c | 536.12$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.77 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 40c | 531.47$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.43 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 65c | 507.69$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 58c | 505.51$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.49 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 42c | 333.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 36c | 316.48$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 43c | 299.58$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.76 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 66c | 276.32$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.46 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 67c | 270$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Under | 36c | 258.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.26 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 36c | 258.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 35c | 235.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 71c | 232.71$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 35c | 181.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 61c | 179.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.69 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 62c | 175.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Under | 36c | 163.43$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 47c | 147.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 15c | 145.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.42per pick | 14cpaid | +367.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…71d6backed Over | 56c | 142.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Under | 38c | 136.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 38cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 135.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 59c | 129.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 39c | 128.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 56c | 127$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Over | 62c | 120.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Under | 36c | 117$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 45c | 116.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 62c | 116.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Under | 43c | 115.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 62c | 115$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 55c | 110.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 63c | 104.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Over | 51c | 104$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 59c | 103.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 34c | 102.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 66c | 101.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 100.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…df41backed Over | 65c | 99.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 58c | 96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 66c | 94.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Under | 59c | 91.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adc…c214backed Over | 48c | 91.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 66c | 90.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 32c | 90$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 36c | 88.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 60c | 87.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 44c | 87.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 86.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 50c | 86.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…2da0backed Under | 39c | 85.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 47c | 80.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…947cbacked Over | 65c | 73.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 36c | 73.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 68c | 71.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…c56dbacked Under | 37c | 65.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Over | 58c | 59.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 66c | 59.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Wellington Phoenix FC won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Wellington Phoenix FC won
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-2.5)Adelaide United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.